Trump Announces Massive Oil, Gas, Mineral Exploration in Greenland

The US president claims preparations are underway for resource extraction following a recent security agreement with Denmark and Greenland.

10 publishers · 12 articles · first seen 14 Oct 2026 · updated 23d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by Times of India, 12 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Before January 20, 2029

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	16%
16 Oct, 14:38 UTC	16%
16 Oct, 04:01 UTC	15%
15 Oct, 23:28 UTC	13%
15 Oct, 22:36 UTC	14%
15 Oct, 22:01 UTC	15%
15 Oct, 20:10 UTC	13%
15 Oct, 11:27 UTC	14%
15 Oct, 02:15 UTC	14%
14 Oct, 14:45 UTC	13%
14 Oct, 04:34 UTC	14%
14 Oct, 00:48 UTC	15%
13 Oct, 21:03 UTC	18%
13 Oct, 12:51 UTC	16%
13 Oct, 04:15 UTC	19%
13 Oct, 01:35 UTC	15%
12 Oct, 17:36 UTC	20%
12 Oct, 15:27 UTC	14%
12 Oct, 13:55 UTC	20%
12 Oct, 00:15 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 22:08 UTC	14%
11 Oct, 14:29 UTC	13%
11 Oct, 13:51 UTC	16%
11 Oct, 04:28 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 23:49 UTC	13%
10 Oct, 20:09 UTC	15%
10 Oct, 15:55 UTC	13%
10 Oct, 14:13 UTC	15%
9 Oct, 19:51 UTC	13%
9 Oct, 07:16 UTC	15%
9 Oct, 02:21 UTC	13%
9 Oct, 01:29 UTC	14%
8 Oct, 20:27 UTC	11%
8 Oct, 17:57 UTC	13%
8 Oct, 00:21 UTC	13%
7 Oct, 22:25 UTC	12%
7 Oct, 15:48 UTC	12%
7 Oct, 07:20 UTC	13%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC	10%
6 Oct, 11:13 UTC	13%
5 Oct, 15:42 UTC	14%
5 Oct, 14:17 UTC	10%
5 Oct, 09:14 UTC	13%
5 Oct, 02:07 UTC	12%
5 Oct, 01:29 UTC	10%
5 Oct, 00:18 UTC	12%
4 Oct, 22:17 UTC	12%
4 Oct, 13:46 UTC	13%
3 Oct, 21:03 UTC	10%
3 Oct, 19:16 UTC	11%
3 Oct, 17:21 UTC	14%
3 Oct, 11:21 UTC	12%
2 Oct, 23:04 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 17:11 UTC	12%
2 Oct, 16:44 UTC	15%
2 Oct, 13:05 UTC	13%
2 Oct, 03:02 UTC	14%
2 Oct, 02:30 UTC	13%
2 Oct, 01:26 UTC	19%
1 Oct, 23:25 UTC	12%
1 Oct, 22:51 UTC	16%
1 Oct, 20:56 UTC	13%
1 Oct, 20:02 UTC	15%
1 Oct, 19:55 UTC	17%
1 Oct, 14:21 UTC	14%
1 Oct, 13:06 UTC	10%
1 Oct, 12:00 UTC	15%
1 Oct, 11:45 UTC	11%
30 Sept, 22:37 UTC	13%
30 Sept, 21:23 UTC	16%
30 Sept, 19:17 UTC	12%
30 Sept, 17:43 UTC	13%
30 Sept, 16:36 UTC	14%
30 Sept, 16:26 UTC	14%
30 Sept, 04:20 UTC	21%
30 Sept, 01:01 UTC	14%
29 Sept, 21:54 UTC	12%
29 Sept, 16:23 UTC	12%
29 Sept, 13:35 UTC	16%
29 Sept, 13:27 UTC	14%
29 Sept, 06:54 UTC	13%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC	18%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC	12%
28 Sept, 12:40 UTC	10%
28 Sept, 00:54 UTC	12%
27 Sept, 22:04 UTC	13%
27 Sept, 20:43 UTC	10%
27 Sept, 20:22 UTC	13%
27 Sept, 15:45 UTC	10%
27 Sept, 09:36 UTC	11%
26 Sept, 23:17 UTC	13%
26 Sept, 20:12 UTC	10%
26 Sept, 19:56 UTC	14%
26 Sept, 18:59 UTC	13%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC	14%
26 Sept, 14:01 UTC	13%
25 Sept, 17:13 UTC	10%
25 Sept, 08:06 UTC	10%
25 Sept, 04:11 UTC	13%
24 Sept, 23:21 UTC	12%
24 Sept, 18:41 UTC	9%
24 Sept, 17:55 UTC	10%
24 Sept, 15:11 UTC	12%
24 Sept, 14:44 UTC	10%
24 Sept, 12:09 UTC	12%
24 Sept, 09:06 UTC	11%
23 Sept, 08:43 UTC	16%

The story so far

10 publishers have covered this in 12 articles since 14 Oct 2026. Times of India published first, on 14 October at 05:20 UTC; CBS News followed 13 min later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 14 October at 23:03 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CBS News (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Just In News (major outlet), Times of India, Sky News, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, Fox News Politics, Deutsche Welle, News - South China Morning Post, Fortune.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Before January 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 16%, with $340 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the United States buys any portion of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if that purchase does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake a security agreement for an actual land sale.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — the market puts it at 2%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The Yes outcome requires an official announcement by the United States and Denmark that Greenland transfers to US sovereignty before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. This transfer must involve the majority of Greenland's territory coming under formal US governance or jurisdiction.
Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 7%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. President physically travels to and is present within Greenland's geographic boundaries before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this specific visit does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Iceland for the required location, but only visits to Greenland count toward resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before January 20, 2029 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

14 Oct, 05:20Times of India ‘Massive’ oil, gas exploration to begin in ‘our beautiful Greenland’: Donald Trump14%
14 Oct, 05:33CBS News Trump says Greenland oil, gas and mineral exploration "getting ready to begin"14%
14 Oct, 06:33Sky News Trump says 'massive' oil, gas and mineral exploration will begin in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 06:41France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines Trump says 'massive' oil, gas and mineral exploration to begin in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 06:51Fox News Politics Trump announces massive oil, gas and mineral exploration plans in Greenland, touts national security benefits14%
14 Oct, 08:08Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Trump says oil, gas and mineral exploration to begin in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 10:00Deutsche Welle Trump announces plans for major oil, gas and mineral exploration in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 11:05Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Trump plans for ‘massive’ resource exploration in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 12:21Just In News Trump: 'Massive' oil, gas, mineral exploration set to begin in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 13:08News - South China Morning Post Trump says ‘massive’ oil, gas and mineral exploration to begin in Greenland14%
14 Oct, 15:23Fortune ‘The island is second to none’: Trump says ‘massive’ oil, gas and mineral exploration set to begin in ‘our new and beautiful’ Greenland13%▼1 points since the previous source
14 Oct, 23:03Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Denmark pushes back as Trump touts Greenland oil and mineral deals13%
NowCurrent odds16%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Show 6 more sources

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Kalshi Before January 20, 2029 16% +2 $340 24hends 20 Jan 2029
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Polymarket Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 2% $3k 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 7% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027
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In this story

Donald Trump
Greenland
Denmark

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