NewsMarkets

Politics

Trump Chief of Staff's Daughter Works for Firm Lobbying Republika Srpska

Susie Wiles’s daughter is employed by a firm that lobbies on behalf of the Russian-aligned Balkan entity.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 8 Oct 2026 · updated 30d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by News Feed, 28 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Susie Wiles
0%50%100%99%7 Oct, 14:45 UTCnowThe Hill: White House chief of staff's daughter shows up in photo from Republicka Srpska · 8 Oct, 19:34 UTCCBS News: Trump aide's daughter pictured with pro-Russia politician · 8 Oct, 15:46 UTCNews Feed: Daughter of Trump’s chief of staff works at firm that lobbies for Republika Srpska · 8 Oct, 15:17 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now99%
6 Nov, 19:03 UTC99%
6 Nov, 18:56 UTC28%
6 Nov, 15:05 UTC24%
6 Nov, 14:11 UTC21%
6 Nov, 13:27 UTC22%
6 Nov, 12:00 UTC13%
6 Nov, 09:16 UTC27%
6 Nov, 08:41 UTC26%
6 Nov, 08:20 UTC25%
6 Nov, 06:49 UTC22%
6 Nov, 06:21 UTC26%
6 Nov, 05:38 UTC25%
6 Nov, 02:22 UTC28%
6 Nov, 01:45 UTC49%
5 Nov, 23:44 UTC19%
5 Nov, 23:22 UTC21%
5 Nov, 22:54 UTC21%
5 Nov, 22:18 UTC23%
5 Nov, 21:49 UTC26%
5 Nov, 21:26 UTC22%
5 Nov, 20:20 UTC20%
5 Nov, 19:43 UTC19%
5 Nov, 19:21 UTC24%
5 Nov, 18:50 UTC20%
5 Nov, 18:28 UTC16%
5 Nov, 17:58 UTC20%
5 Nov, 17:20 UTC21%
5 Nov, 16:58 UTC15%
5 Nov, 15:41 UTC21%
5 Nov, 15:25 UTC24%
5 Nov, 14:47 UTC19%
5 Nov, 14:16 UTC16%
5 Nov, 13:45 UTC17%
5 Nov, 10:39 UTC22%
5 Nov, 06:19 UTC14%
5 Nov, 05:35 UTC23%
5 Nov, 04:12 UTC27%
5 Nov, 03:51 UTC24%
5 Nov, 02:54 UTC27%
5 Nov, 02:17 UTC31%
5 Nov, 01:42 UTC28%
5 Nov, 01:28 UTC31%
5 Nov, 00:59 UTC29%
5 Nov, 00:16 UTC31%
4 Nov, 23:54 UTC30%
4 Nov, 23:04 UTC28%
4 Nov, 22:49 UTC27%
4 Nov, 22:05 UTC31%
4 Nov, 21:42 UTC46%
4 Nov, 21:26 UTC55%
4 Nov, 20:45 UTC50%
4 Nov, 20:23 UTC45%
4 Nov, 19:19 UTC34%
4 Nov, 18:35 UTC26%
4 Nov, 18:27 UTC29%
4 Nov, 17:56 UTC19%
4 Nov, 17:27 UTC17%
4 Nov, 16:57 UTC19%
4 Nov, 14:01 UTC20%
4 Nov, 13:31 UTC18%
4 Nov, 05:39 UTC20%
4 Nov, 02:41 UTC18%
4 Nov, 01:49 UTC17%
4 Nov, 01:20 UTC13%
3 Nov, 23:17 UTC16%
3 Nov, 21:57 UTC18%
3 Nov, 19:57 UTC13%
3 Nov, 14:53 UTC18%
3 Nov, 14:25 UTC14%
3 Nov, 10:22 UTC11%
3 Nov, 07:12 UTC17%
3 Nov, 04:15 UTC14%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC17%
3 Nov, 01:39 UTC18%
3 Nov, 01:17 UTC17%
2 Nov, 23:44 UTC19%
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC18%
2 Nov, 21:26 UTC17%
2 Nov, 19:54 UTC18%
2 Nov, 18:42 UTC17%
2 Nov, 14:49 UTC18%
2 Nov, 08:43 UTC14%
31 Oct, 23:53 UTC19%
31 Oct, 22:21 UTC16%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC19%
31 Oct, 14:16 UTC22%
31 Oct, 08:21 UTC21%
31 Oct, 03:45 UTC20%
31 Oct, 02:12 UTC19%
31 Oct, 01:39 UTC18%
31 Oct, 01:04 UTC15%
30 Oct, 21:46 UTC19%
30 Oct, 18:03 UTC16%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC19%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC18%
30 Oct, 12:38 UTC19%
30 Oct, 05:42 UTC18%
30 Oct, 05:00 UTC16%
30 Oct, 04:36 UTC17%
30 Oct, 04:15 UTC14%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC17%
30 Oct, 02:41 UTC19%
30 Oct, 02:09 UTC22%
30 Oct, 01:21 UTC21%
30 Oct, 00:21 UTC18%
29 Oct, 23:19 UTC20%
29 Oct, 19:15 UTC16%
29 Oct, 18:42 UTC15%
29 Oct, 17:11 UTC17%
29 Oct, 16:07 UTC19%
28 Oct, 23:19 UTC23%
28 Oct, 22:32 UTC20%
28 Oct, 15:47 UTC24%
28 Oct, 12:57 UTC20%
28 Oct, 10:56 UTC19%
28 Oct, 06:27 UTC23%
28 Oct, 02:16 UTC19%
27 Oct, 21:19 UTC23%
27 Oct, 15:05 UTC23%
27 Oct, 13:48 UTC20%
27 Oct, 13:11 UTC23%
27 Oct, 12:50 UTC18%
27 Oct, 04:06 UTC20%
26 Oct, 23:10 UTC22%
26 Oct, 22:56 UTC20%
26 Oct, 15:39 UTC22%
26 Oct, 13:55 UTC18%
26 Oct, 11:56 UTC20%
26 Oct, 03:13 UTC17%
26 Oct, 02:27 UTC19%
25 Oct, 17:10 UTC23%
25 Oct, 08:07 UTC22%
25 Oct, 06:19 UTC21%
25 Oct, 05:03 UTC22%
25 Oct, 02:00 UTC17%
25 Oct, 00:14 UTC18%
24 Oct, 19:44 UTC23%
23 Oct, 18:48 UTC24%
23 Oct, 04:38 UTC23%
23 Oct, 03:41 UTC21%
22 Oct, 22:39 UTC20%
22 Oct, 20:48 UTC13%
22 Oct, 18:49 UTC18%
22 Oct, 15:36 UTC23%
22 Oct, 14:31 UTC17%
22 Oct, 10:02 UTC24%
22 Oct, 09:26 UTC23%
22 Oct, 04:48 UTC24%
22 Oct, 03:45 UTC13%
22 Oct, 01:37 UTC23%
22 Oct, 00:52 UTC22%
22 Oct, 00:10 UTC17%
21 Oct, 20:35 UTC25%
21 Oct, 18:27 UTC26%
21 Oct, 17:50 UTC23%
21 Oct, 12:56 UTC26%
21 Oct, 11:45 UTC27%
21 Oct, 06:09 UTC23%
21 Oct, 04:19 UTC26%
21 Oct, 03:29 UTC25%
20 Oct, 22:38 UTC26%
20 Oct, 22:24 UTC21%
20 Oct, 16:41 UTC25%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC26%
19 Oct, 02:42 UTC30%
18 Oct, 18:50 UTC31%
18 Oct, 17:59 UTC32%
18 Oct, 15:59 UTC39%
18 Oct, 13:16 UTC43%
18 Oct, 07:55 UTC15%
18 Oct, 03:23 UTC44%
18 Oct, 02:31 UTC42%
17 Oct, 23:22 UTC28%
17 Oct, 21:18 UTC28%
17 Oct, 20:12 UTC28%
17 Oct, 18:43 UTC26%
17 Oct, 09:26 UTC29%
17 Oct, 08:46 UTC28%
17 Oct, 03:49 UTC29%
17 Oct, 00:44 UTC31%
16 Oct, 23:50 UTC31%
16 Oct, 22:55 UTC30%
16 Oct, 22:23 UTC28%
16 Oct, 20:28 UTC23%
16 Oct, 19:55 UTC29%
16 Oct, 19:27 UTC24%
16 Oct, 18:17 UTC30%
16 Oct, 17:36 UTC25%
16 Oct, 17:22 UTC29%
16 Oct, 14:45 UTC33%
16 Oct, 13:31 UTC31%
16 Oct, 12:19 UTC29%
16 Oct, 07:46 UTC28%
16 Oct, 02:16 UTC29%
16 Oct, 01:42 UTC30%
16 Oct, 01:15 UTC29%
15 Oct, 22:15 UTC27%
15 Oct, 21:06 UTC28%
15 Oct, 19:28 UTC26%
15 Oct, 18:55 UTC27%
15 Oct, 18:13 UTC26%
15 Oct, 17:53 UTC27%
15 Oct, 17:18 UTC26%
15 Oct, 16:56 UTC26%
15 Oct, 16:22 UTC34%
15 Oct, 15:45 UTC42%
15 Oct, 15:19 UTC13%
15 Oct, 13:52 UTC12%
15 Oct, 13:24 UTC8%
14 Oct, 04:01 UTC7%
11 Oct, 16:32 UTC4%
11 Oct, 04:41 UTC5%
7 Oct, 14:45 UTC7%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 8 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 8 October at 15:17 UTC; CBS News followed 28 min later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 8 October at 19:34 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet).

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Susie Wiles — resolved “Yes” on 6 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce her departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if she remains in the role longer than any other cabinet member or does not leave by that date.
  • Susie Wiles — resolved “Yes” on 7 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles leaves her role as Chief of Staff before 2027. The outcome is No if she remains in that position through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her daughter for the resolution criteria, but only Wiles's own departure date matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Susie Wiles at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. News FeedDaughter of Trump’s chief of staff works at firm that lobbies for Republika Srpska7%
  2. CBS NewsTrump aide's daughter pictured with pro-Russia politician7%
  3. The HillWhite House chief of staff's daughter shows up in photo from Republicka Srpska7%
  4. Market resolved: Yes

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. White House chief of staff's daughter shows up in photo from Republicka Srpska The Hill ·
  2. Trump aide's daughter pictured with pro-Russia politician CBS News ·
  3. Daughter of Trump’s chief of staff works at firm that lobbies for Republika Srpska News Feed ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Susie Wiles Yes 13h ago

    The market favoured No at 76% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Susie Wiles Yes 3h ago

    The market favoured No at 57% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Susie Wiles
  • Republika Srpska
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.