Trump Administration Asks Supreme Court To Lift Block On Transgender Inmate Care Ban
The Justice Department seeks to enforce restrictions on hormone therapy and gender-affirming surgeries for transgender inmates in federal prisons.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Hill News, 1h 26m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 13:31 UTC | 24% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2029 respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 28 Sept 2026. The Hill News published first, on 28 September at 15:26 UTC; CBS News Politics followed 1h 26m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 29 September at 15:25 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill News (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), STAT, Fox News Politics, MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2029 — the market puts it at 21%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the US Supreme Court issues a ruling that lifts the ban on transgender girls and women competing in female sports teams before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if the Court does not issue such a ruling within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about inmate care for the actual resolution criteria regarding sports teams.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2029 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Hill NewsTrump administration asks Supreme Court to OK transgender inmate policy24%
- CBS News PoliticsDOJ asks Supreme Court to allow policy ending medical care for transgender inmates24%
- STATTrump administration asks Supreme Court to allow transgender medical care restrictions in prison24%
- Fox News PoliticsDOJ pleads with Supreme Court to save ban on transgender treatments in federal prisons24%
- MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansTrump Admin Asks SCOTUS to Allow Trans Medical Care Restrictions in Prison24%
- The Guardian USTrump admin asks supreme court to allow gender-affirming care denial to transgender prisoners24%
- Current odds21%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Trump admin asks supreme court to allow gender-affirming care denial to transgender prisoners The Guardian US ·
- DOJ asks Supreme Court to allow policy ending medical care for transgender inmates CBS News Politics ·
- Trump administration asks Supreme Court to OK transgender inmate policy The Hill News ·
- Trump Admin Asks SCOTUS to Allow Trans Medical Care Restrictions in Prison MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians
- DOJ pleads with Supreme Court to save ban on transgender treatments in federal prisons Fox News Politics
- Trump administration asks Supreme Court to allow transgender medical care restrictions in prison STAT
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2029 21%
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In this story
- Trump administration
- Supreme Court
- DOJ
- Bureau of Prisons