Before 2029
Implied probability 24%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$44k
Liquidity$44k
Resolves1 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 4 Nov, 07:27 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 24% |
| 1 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the US Supreme Court issues a ruling that lifts the ban on transgender girls and women competing in female sports teams before January 1, 2029. The outcome is No if the Court does not issue such a ruling within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about inmate care for the actual resolution criteria regarding sports teams.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%