Troy Jackson Unseats Susan Collins in Maine Senate Race
Jackson defeats the incumbent Republican senator, ending her decades-long tenure in the US Senate.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by politico.com, 2h 28m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 00:36 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 21:03 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 10% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Susan Collins, 0-2% respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 4 Nov 2026. politico.com published first, on 4 November at 06:02 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 2h 28m later. The most recent article, from NPR Politics, appeared on 4 November at 11:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Susan Collins, 0-2% — resolved “No” on 5 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Susan Collins wins the 2026 Maine Senate election by a margin between 0% and 2%. The outcome is No if her victory margin falls outside that range or if she loses. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the official certification of results.
- Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Susan Collins, 0-2% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- politico.comTroy Jackson unseats Susan Collins in Maine2%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraDemocrat Troy Jackson unseats Republican Senator Susan Collins in Maine2%
- NPR PoliticsDemocrat Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate race over Republican Susan Collins2%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Susan Collins, 0-2% No 2d ago
The market favoured No at 88% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 72% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Troy Jackson
- Susan Collins
- Maine