NewsMarkets

World

Ebola Patient Evacuated From Nigeria To Switzerland

A Swiss diplomat's wife infected with the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola in Nigeria has been medically evacuated to Geneva for treatment.

4 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 26 Oct 2026 · updated 12d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

First reported by ABC News, 3h 22m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Republic of the Congo
0%50%100%21%22 Sept, 21:55 UTCnowNews Feed: Nigeria evacuates Ebola patient to Switzerland · 26 Oct, 17:23 UTCABC News: Swiss Ebola patient in Nigeria evacuated to Switzerland · 26 Oct, 14:00 UTCNews - South China Morning Post: Ebola patient evacuated from Nigeria to Switzerland · 26 Oct, 18:21 UTCSky News: Woman treated for Ebola in Nigeria is evacuated to Switzerland · 26 Oct, 17:25 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now21%
27 Oct, 19:55 UTC21%
27 Oct, 14:29 UTC23%
26 Oct, 21:04 UTC19%
26 Oct, 05:19 UTC21%
25 Oct, 02:07 UTC24%
24 Oct, 06:58 UTC21%
23 Oct, 03:41 UTC20%
20 Oct, 14:01 UTC23%
18 Oct, 22:42 UTC25%
18 Oct, 20:53 UTC27%
18 Oct, 20:27 UTC26%
18 Oct, 18:22 UTC25%
18 Oct, 13:23 UTC21%
17 Oct, 12:20 UTC15%
17 Oct, 11:13 UTC16%
16 Oct, 06:36 UTC18%
15 Oct, 23:49 UTC15%
15 Oct, 18:13 UTC20%
14 Oct, 02:35 UTC19%
14 Oct, 02:08 UTC17%
13 Oct, 02:47 UTC20%
12 Oct, 17:05 UTC15%
10 Oct, 17:15 UTC18%
10 Oct, 08:30 UTC17%
9 Oct, 20:55 UTC16%
9 Oct, 00:55 UTC18%
8 Oct, 05:03 UTC16%
8 Oct, 01:22 UTC20%
7 Oct, 22:58 UTC21%
7 Oct, 18:33 UTC16%
7 Oct, 12:58 UTC19%
7 Oct, 09:31 UTC23%
7 Oct, 09:03 UTC28%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC18%
7 Oct, 00:35 UTC23%
6 Oct, 08:42 UTC13%
1 Oct, 18:05 UTC13%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC11%
28 Sept, 04:53 UTC17%
28 Sept, 02:25 UTC28%
27 Sept, 21:08 UTC20%
27 Sept, 11:33 UTC19%
26 Sept, 23:34 UTC18%
25 Sept, 19:18 UTC14%
25 Sept, 04:42 UTC20%
22 Sept, 21:55 UTC18%

The story so far

4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 26 Oct 2026. ABC News published first, on 26 October at 14:00 UTC; News Feed followed 3h 23m later. The most recent article, from News - South China Morning Post, appeared on 26 October at 18:21 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), Sky News, News - South China Morning Post.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Republic of the Congo — the market puts it at 21%, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the Republic of the Congo is officially reported between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about DR Congo for the relevant region, but only cases in the Republic of the Congo count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Republic of the Congo at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. ABC NewsSwiss Ebola patient in Nigeria evacuated to Switzerland21%
  2. News FeedNigeria evacuates Ebola patient to Switzerland21%
  3. Sky NewsWoman treated for Ebola in Nigeria is evacuated to Switzerland21%
  4. News - South China Morning PostEbola patient evacuated from Nigeria to Switzerland21%
  5. Current odds21%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Nigeria evacuates Ebola patient to Switzerland News Feed ·
  2. Swiss Ebola patient in Nigeria evacuated to Switzerland ABC News ·
  3. Ebola patient evacuated from Nigeria to Switzerland News - South China Morning Post
  4. Woman treated for Ebola in Nigeria is evacuated to Switzerland Sky News

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Republic of the Congo 21% −2 $6 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Nigeria
  • Switzerland
  • Democratic Republic of Congo
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.