Supreme Court Begins Landmark Term Covering Climate, Guns And Rights
The court opens its October term with significant cases on climate change, firearm regulations and religious discrimination.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 13:06 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 26 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 26 September at 14:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 3%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the total number of Supreme Court justices changes between now and January 20, 2029. It resolves to No if the court size remains exactly the same during that period. Readers often mistake the start date of the term for the deadline, but only the final count on January 20, 2029 matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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- Kalshi Before Jan 20, 2029 3%
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