Steve Hilton Faces Backlash Over 'Creepy' Campaign Ad
Republican candidate Steve Hilton faces criticism from his own party for a campaign ad featuring sexual innuendo.
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The odds
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Price data
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|---|---|
| now | 0% |
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| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 15:36 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 11:25 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 09:09 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 15:42 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 06:03 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:40 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 07:31 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 02:59 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 16:14 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 5 October at 19:28 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Steve Hilton — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his campaign's success or viability, but it only depends on the final election result.
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on when three specific news sources call the race or when official certification is complete, rather than Election Day itself.
- Orange — the market puts it at 1%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial general election specifically in Orange County. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific race or location. Readers often mistake the scope of the victory, thinking it applies to the entire state rather than just Orange County.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Steve Hilton No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Orange 1% −45
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
In this story
- Steve Hilton
- California