Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Implied probability 0%−2
24-hour volume$224k
Total volume$4.9M
Liquidity$279k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Steve Hilton wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins that race. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on when three specific news sources call the race or when official certification is complete, rather than Election Day itself.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%