SpaceX Capsule Splashes Down Off California After Eight-Month ISS Mission
The Crew-12 astronauts completed their eight-month mission to the International Space Station with a parachute-assisted splashdown in the Pacific Ocean.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Markets, 4h 25m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 11 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 22:16 UTC | 39% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 4 respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 8 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 8 October at 16:17 UTC; Fortune followed 4h 25m later. The most recent article, from Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, appeared on 9 October at 08:13 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Fortune, Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories.
One prediction market prices this story:
- 4 — the market puts it at 38%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if exactly four Starship launches reach space in 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of launches. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the linked story's event rather than the full year of 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 4 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsSpaceX Crew Capsule Splashes Down in Pacific After ISS Stay39%
- Bloomberg MarketsSpaceX Crew Capsule Splashes Down After ISS Stay39%
- Fortune‘We are so excited to be back’: SpaceX’s recovery ship brought back four astronauts to Earth after an eight-month mission39%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraFour astronauts return to earth after an eight-month space mission39%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesFour astronauts return to Earth after eight months in space39%
- Current odds38%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Four astronauts return to earth after an eight-month space mission Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- SpaceX Crew Capsule Splashes Down After ISS Stay Bloomberg Markets ·
- SpaceX Crew Capsule Splashes Down in Pacific After ISS Stay Bloomberg Markets ·
- Four astronauts return to Earth after eight months in space Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- ‘We are so excited to be back’: SpaceX’s recovery ship brought back four astronauts to Earth after an eight-month mission Fortune
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 4 38%
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In this story
- SpaceX
- International Space Station