South Africa beat Australia to win ODI series in Johannesburg
Centuries from Temba Bavuma and David Miller helped South Africa defeat Australia by 32 runs to secure the three-match series.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by BBC Sport, 38 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 44% |
| 27 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 07:55 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 45% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 13:11 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 09:37 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 07:07 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 06:10 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 03:37 UTC | 45% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 46% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 47% |
| 25 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 50% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 27 Sept 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 27 September at 16:39 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 38 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 27 September at 18:41 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia — resolved “South Africa” on 27 Sept 2026. The market resolves to South Africa if they win the scheduled ODI on September 27, 2026, and to Australia if they win. Ties without a Super Over or canceled matches result in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked story about the first ODI as relevant, but this market applies only to the specific fixture scheduled for September 27.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia South Africa 41d ago
The market favoured Australia at 55% a day out, but South Africa won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- South Africa
- Australia
- Temba Bavuma
- David Miller