Sinner, Alcaraz And Osaka Headline Australian Open '1 Point Slam'
The trio joins the field for the sudden-death contest at Melbourne Park ahead of the season's first Grand Slam.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 43% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 01:10 UTC | 38% |
| 10 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 44% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 43% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 41% |
| 8 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 43% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 45% |
| 7 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 46% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 32% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 43% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. Latest articles published first, on 8 October at 07:20 UTC; SI Feed followed 37h 01m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 9 October at 20:21 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Latest articles, SI Feed.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Carlos Alcaraz — the market puts it at 37%, with $161 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles title. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked Japan Open victory for the required event, but only the 2027 Australian Open result counts.
- Jannik Sinner — the market puts it at 1%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the PIF ATP singles rankings on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Carlos Alcaraz 37% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jannik Sinner 1%
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Wrong market?
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In this story
- Jannik Sinner
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Naomi Osaka