Jannik Sinner
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$41k
Liquidity$41k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 16:33 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 21% |
| 4 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 7% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 21% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jannik Sinner holds the top spot in the PIF ATP singles rankings on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%