Hurricane Isaias kills six in Florida, leaves hundreds of thousands without power
The storm strikes the US Gulf Coast with Category 2 force, causing widespread outages across Florida and Alabama while prompting cleanup efforts.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:58 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 14:02 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 11:04 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 36% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 44% |
| 10 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 17% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 48% |
| 10 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 80% |
| 10 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 82% |
| 10 Oct, 00:19 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 89% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 81% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 78% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 82% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 84% |
| 9 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 83% |
| 9 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 82% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 77% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 75% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 90% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 13:44 UTC | 88% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 81% |
| 9 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 80% |
| 9 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 77% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 84% |
| 9 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 84% |
| 9 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 77% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 68% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 66% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 61% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 62% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 60% |
| 8 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 64% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 67% |
| 8 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 64% |
| 8 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 60% |
| 8 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 59% |
| 8 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 64% |
| 8 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 65% |
| 7 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 0% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Dec 31, 2026 respond.
The story so far
20 publishers have covered this in 56 articles since 6 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 6 October at 20:22 UTC; SI Feed followed 15h 00m later. The most recent article, from Inside Climate News, appeared on 14 October at 22:02 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed, BBC News, Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, Deutsche Welle, MarketWatch and 8 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Dec 31, 2026 — the market puts it at 2%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a named storm called Isaias makes landfall or intersects Alabama between now and December 31, 2026, with sustained winds of at least 74 mph reported in consecutive National Hurricane Center advisories. The two advisories must be issued no more than 12 hours apart and include latitude and longitude coordinates rounded to the nearest 0.1 degree.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 6%, with $83 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a hurricane with winds of at least 74 mph hits Hawaii during the 2026 season. It resolves to No if no such storm occurs in that specific year. Readers often mistake the linked story's immediate threat for the final resolution, but only a landfall within the 2026 season counts.
- Category 4 or higher landfall — the market puts it at 1%, with $162 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Category 4 or stronger hurricane makes landfall in Florida (excluding the Keys) between October 6, 2026, and December 31, 2026. The outcome depends on an official report from NOAA's National Hurricane Center confirming the event within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the start date for October 5 or assume any wind speed qualifies without a confirmed landfall.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Dec 31, 2026 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS Sports HeadlinesSEC monitoring Tropical Storm Isaias as Alabama vs. Georgia showdown nears—
- SI FeedUpdated Look at Tropical Storm Isaias's Potential Impact on Alabama-Georgia0%
- SI FeedHow Isaias, Severe Storms Could Impact Alabama-Georgia Despite Improving Forecast0%
- SI FeedPresident Trump Makes Decision on Alabama-Georgia Game Amid Hurricane Fears0%
- SI FeedHow Tropical Storm Isaias Could Impact Vanderbilt Football Game Against Ole Miss0%
- Bloomberg.comTrump Weighs Iran Strikes, Hurricane Isaias Forms in Gulf, More0%
- SI FeedForecast Improves for Alabama-Georgia as Category 1 Hurricane Isaias Approaches: Weather Update63%▲63 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHurricane Isaias charges towards the US Gulf Coast with dangerous winds61%▼3 points since the previous source
- BBC ScienceBBC on Hurricane Isaias and its expected Gulf Coast landfall62%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedNashville Weather Update For Tropical Storm Isaias Ahead of Vanderbilt Football Game Against Ole Miss66%▲4 points since the previous source
Show 46 later sources
- SI FeedUpdated Look at Hurricane Isaias potential impact on Georgia Tech-Duke Game58%▼8 points since the previous source
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesHurricane Isaias strengthens en route to US Gulf Coast70%▲12 points since the previous source
- Deutsche WelleHurricane Isaias intensifies en route to US Gulf Coast84%▲14 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsHurricane Isaias Nears Florida as Second Storm Threatens West80%▼4 points since the previous source
- The GuardianStates of emergency declared as Hurricane Isaias barrels toward Gulf coast81%▲1 points since the previous source
- BBC ScienceHurricane Isaias strengthens as it heads towards land88%▲6 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHurricane Isaias strengthens into Category 3 storm with US in its sights87%
- The Guardian USGulf coast residents prepare ahead of Hurricane Isaias landfall – video87%
- MarketWatchHurricane Isaias to ‘stress test’ oil markets already hobbled by tight fuel supplies87%
- News FeedOil and gas production disrupted as Hurricane Isaias barrels towards Gulf85%▼3 points since the previous source
- Scientific AmericanHow Hurricane Isaias got so dangerously strong so fast83%▼2 points since the previous source
- CBS News10/9: CBS Evening News87%▲4 points since the previous source
- SI FeedNashville Weather Update a Day Out From Vanderbilt Football Game Against Ole Miss88%▲1 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg.comHurricane Isaias Slams Florida With Dangerous Winds, Heavy Rain85%▼3 points since the previous source
- The GuardianHurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida with severe effects expected across several states85%
- The GuardianKey things to know about Hurricane Isaias as millions under evacuation orders85%
- BBC ScienceLife-threatening Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida85%
- Deutsche WelleHurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida80%▼4 points since the previous source
- Times of IndiaHurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida as Category 2 storm80%
- Energy & EnvironmentIsaias makes landfall along the US Gulf Coast as a dangerous Category 2 hurricane80%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraIsaias weakens after making landfall in US Gulf Coast as hurricane2%▼78 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsIsaias Leaves Thousands Without Power After Striking Gulf Coast2%
- The GuardianHurricane Isaias live updates: hundreds of thousands without power as storm batters US Gulf Coast2%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comUpdated Weather Forecasts for Giants, Steelers, NFL Games Impacted by Hurricane Isaias Remnants2%▲1 points since the previous source
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesIsaias downgraded to post-tropical cyclone after landfall in Florida2%
- Bloomberg MarketsHurricane Isaias Slams Florida Panhandle3%▲1 points since the previous source
- The GuardianIsaias weakens to post-tropical cyclone after striking Florida panhandle2%▼1 points since the previous source
- politico.comDamage assessments, cleanup begin after Hurricane Isaias thrashes Florida Panhandle1%▼1 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHurricane Isaias leaves two dead and 800,000 without power in US Southeast2%▲1 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsHurricane Isaias May Cost Insurers Billions2%
- BBC NewsFour dead and thousands without power after Hurricane Isaias lashes US1%▼1 points since the previous source
- News - South China Morning PostIsaias kills 4 in US, leaves 670,000 without power1%
- CBS News Politics10/10: CBS Weekend News3%▲2 points since the previous source
- Deutsche WelleStorm Isaias leaves 4 dead as it moves across southern US1%▼2 points since the previous source
- Times of IndiaHurricane Isaias kills 4 in US, leaves hundreds of thousands without power - video4%▲3 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHurricane Isaias kills four, leaves 650,000 without power in Florida5%▲1 points since the previous source
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesAt least 4 dead as cyclone Isaias drenches southern US6%▲1 points since the previous source
- Sky NewsFour dead after Hurricane Isaias crashes into US - as Mexico braces itself for Category 4 storm5%▼1 points since the previous source
- The GuardianThousands without power in Florida and Alabama as Isaias moves north2%▼3 points since the previous source
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesAt least 4 dead as cyclone Isaias drenches southern U.S.5%▲3 points since the previous source
- Fox News PoliticsHurricane Isaias’ devastating aftermath comes into focus in striking images7%▲3 points since the previous source
- CBS News10/11: CBS Weekend News2%▼5 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraHurricane Isaias leaves trail of destruction across the US Gulf Coast2%
- Scientific AmericanHurricane Isaias shows 'it only takes one' to wreak havoc after historically calm Atlantic hurricane season1%▼1 points since the previous source
- The Guardian USFlorida officials say six people dead from Hurricane Isaias1%
- Inside Climate NewsIsaias Made It To Birmingham. The Consequences Were Deadly.5%▲4 points since the previous source
- Current odds2%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Florida officials say six people dead from Hurricane Isaias The Guardian US ·
- Hurricane Isaias leaves trail of destruction across the US Gulf Coast Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- 10/11: CBS Weekend News CBS News ·
- Thousands without power in Florida and Alabama as Isaias moves north The Guardian ·
- Hurricane Isaias kills four, leaves 650,000 without power in Florida Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- 10/10: CBS Weekend News CBS News Politics ·
Show 50 more sources
- Hurricane Isaias May Cost Insurers Billions Bloomberg Markets ·
- Hurricane Isaias leaves two dead and 800,000 without power in US Southeast Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Damage assessments, cleanup begin after Hurricane Isaias thrashes Florida Panhandle politico.com ·
- Isaias weakens to post-tropical cyclone after striking Florida panhandle The Guardian ·
- Hurricane Isaias Slams Florida Panhandle Bloomberg Markets ·
- Hurricane Isaias live updates: hundreds of thousands without power as storm batters US Gulf Coast The Guardian ·
- Isaias Leaves Thousands Without Power After Striking Gulf Coast Bloomberg Markets ·
- Isaias weakens after making landfall in US Gulf Coast as hurricane Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Isaias makes landfall along the US Gulf Coast as a dangerous Category 2 hurricane Energy & Environment ·
- Key things to know about Hurricane Isaias as millions under evacuation orders The Guardian ·
- Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida with severe effects expected across several states The Guardian ·
- Hurricane Isaias Slams Florida With Dangerous Winds, Heavy Rain Bloomberg.com ·
- 10/9: CBS Evening News CBS News ·
- Oil and gas production disrupted as Hurricane Isaias barrels towards Gulf News Feed ·
- Gulf coast residents prepare ahead of Hurricane Isaias landfall – video The Guardian US ·
- Hurricane Isaias strengthens into Category 3 storm with US in its sights Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- States of emergency declared as Hurricane Isaias barrels toward Gulf coast The Guardian ·
- Hurricane Isaias Nears Florida as Second Storm Threatens West Bloomberg Markets ·
- Hurricane Isaias charges towards the US Gulf Coast with dangerous winds Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Trump Weighs Iran Strikes, Hurricane Isaias Forms in Gulf, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Isaias Made It To Birmingham. The Consequences Were Deadly. Inside Climate News
- Hurricane Isaias shows 'it only takes one' to wreak havoc after historically calm Atlantic hurricane season Scientific American
- Hurricane Isaias’ devastating aftermath comes into focus in striking images Fox News Politics
- At least 4 dead as cyclone Isaias drenches southern U.S. Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Four dead after Hurricane Isaias crashes into US - as Mexico braces itself for Category 4 storm Sky News
- At least 4 dead as cyclone Isaias drenches southern US France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Hurricane Isaias kills 4 in US, leaves hundreds of thousands without power - video Times of India
- Storm Isaias leaves 4 dead as it moves across southern US Deutsche Welle
- Isaias kills 4 in US, leaves 670,000 without power News - South China Morning Post
- Four dead and thousands without power after Hurricane Isaias lashes US BBC News
- Isaias downgraded to post-tropical cyclone after landfall in Florida Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Updated Weather Forecasts for Giants, Steelers, NFL Games Impacted by Hurricane Isaias Remnants feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida as Category 2 storm Times of India
- Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida Deutsche Welle
- Life-threatening Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida BBC Science
- Nashville Weather Update a Day Out From Vanderbilt Football Game Against Ole Miss SI Feed
- How Hurricane Isaias got so dangerously strong so fast Scientific American
- Hurricane Isaias to ‘stress test’ oil markets already hobbled by tight fuel supplies MarketWatch
- Hurricane Isaias strengthens as it heads towards land BBC Science
- Hurricane Isaias intensifies en route to US Gulf Coast Deutsche Welle
- Hurricane Isaias strengthens en route to US Gulf Coast Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Updated Look at Hurricane Isaias potential impact on Georgia Tech-Duke Game SI Feed
- Nashville Weather Update For Tropical Storm Isaias Ahead of Vanderbilt Football Game Against Ole Miss SI Feed
- BBC on Hurricane Isaias and its expected Gulf Coast landfall BBC Science
- Forecast Improves for Alabama-Georgia as Category 1 Hurricane Isaias Approaches: Weather Update SI Feed
- How Tropical Storm Isaias Could Impact Vanderbilt Football Game Against Ole Miss SI Feed
- President Trump Makes Decision on Alabama-Georgia Game Amid Hurricane Fears SI Feed
- How Isaias, Severe Storms Could Impact Alabama-Georgia Despite Improving Forecast SI Feed
- Updated Look at Tropical Storm Isaias's Potential Impact on Alabama-Georgia SI Feed
- SEC monitoring Tropical Storm Isaias as Alabama vs. Georgia showdown nears CBS Sports Headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before Dec 31, 2026 2% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Category 4 or higher landfall 1% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Florida
- Alabama
- Ron DeSantis
- Hurricane Isaias