Democrats flip key seats while Republicans hold others in US House election results

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Republican Party at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 4 Nov, 00:19The HillSchwartzel wins Florida House seat vacated by Donalds—
2. 4 Nov, 00:24The HillRep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz wins Florida House seat—
3. 4 Nov, 00:57The HillRepublican Sydney Gruters wins Florida's 16th Congressional District—
4. 4 Nov, 01:11The HillDemocrat Pia Dandiya wins Florida's 22nd Congressional District—
5. 4 Nov, 01:15The HillHamawy wins open New Jersey House seat, succeeding Watson Coleman—
6. 4 Nov, 01:30The HillByron Donalds wins Florida governor’s race—
7. 4 Nov, 01:31Bloomberg.comDemocrat Ager Wins North Carolina House Race, DDHQ Projects—
8. 4 Nov, 01:34The HillDemocrat Ager flips Edwards's North Carolina House seat—
9. 4 Nov, 01:59Mother JonesDemocrats Flip Seat in Deep-Red Western North Carolina—
10. 4 Nov, 02:00Bloomberg.comDemocrat Lander Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects—
11. Show 139 later sources

    1. 4 Nov, 02:01Bloomberg.comDemocrat Lasher Wins New York House Race, DDHQ Projects—
    2. 4 Nov, 02:02The HillKiros wins Colorado House seat after ousting DeGette in primary—
    3. 4 Nov, 02:04The HillMamdani-backed Democrat Claire Valdez wins New York House seat—
    4. 4 Nov, 02:05The HillJeffries wins reelection in New York as he eyes Speakership—
    5. 4 Nov, 02:05The HillLander wins open House seat after successful primary challenge—
    6. 4 Nov, 02:05The HillDemocratic socialist wins Espaillat's House seat in New York—
    7. 4 Nov, 02:06The HillLasher wins retiring Nadler's open New York House seat—
    8. 4 Nov, 02:07The HillAustin Rogers wins House race to succeed retiring Dunn in Florida—
    9. 4 Nov, 02:08The HillDemocrat Paige Cognetti defeats Bresnahan, flipping key House seat—
    10. 4 Nov, 02:09Fox News PoliticsMamdani-backed socialist wins NYC House seat as DSA expands its reach in Congress—
    11. 4 Nov, 02:10The Guardian USTrump-endorsed Republican Byron Donalds wins Florida race for governor—
    12. 4 Nov, 02:10NPR PoliticsRepublican Byron Donalds wins governor's race in Florida—
    13. 4 Nov, 02:14The HillDemocrat Zach Dembo projected to flip Kentucky House seat—
    14. 4 Nov, 02:17Fox News PoliticsTrump Bedminster golf course falls to Dems as Republicans lose key House seat—
    15. 4 Nov, 02:19The HillJackley wins election for South Dakota’s sole House seat—
    16. 4 Nov, 02:21Times of IndiaUS midterms: Indian-origin Pia Dandiya wins Florida House race—
    17. 4 Nov, 02:22The HillCowan clinches Georgia House seat held by retiring Loudermilk—
    18. 4 Nov, 02:25Bloomberg.comDemocrat Gonzalez Wins Texas House Race, NBC Projects—
    19. 4 Nov, 02:29The HillGaines set to succeed Georgia’s Collins in House—
    20. 4 Nov, 02:33The HillLandsman fends off GOP challenge in purple Ohio House district—
    21. 4 Nov, 02:34The HillSouth Carolina’s Climer wins election to succeed Norman in House—
    22. 4 Nov, 02:35Bloomberg.comDemocrat Brooks Wins Pennsylvania House Race, DDHQ Projects—
    23. 4 Nov, 02:37The HillDemocrat Bob Brooks flips Pennsylvania House seat—
    24. 4 Nov, 02:46Bloomberg.comDemocrat Rutinel Wins Colorado House Race, NBC Projects—
    25. 4 Nov, 02:50The HillBennett ousts Kean Jr. in battleground New Jersey House race—
    26. 4 Nov, 02:52The HillDemocrat J.D. Ford beats Spartz in major upset for Indiana House seat—
    27. 4 Nov, 02:54The HillLuria defeats Kiggans in rematch for Virginia House seat—
    28. 4 Nov, 02:55Bloomberg.comDemocrat Powell Wins Nebraska House Race, DDHQ Projects—
    29. 4 Nov, 02:56The HillDemocrats flip Nebraska's 'blue dot' 2nd District—
    30. 4 Nov, 03:04The HillGonzalez defends battleground House seat in Texas—
    31. 4 Nov, 03:04The HillFormer House Democrat wins Utah election to return to Capitol Hill—
    32. 4 Nov, 03:16The HillJoAnna Mendoza wins Arizona House seat, flipping key district for Dems—
    33. 4 Nov, 03:17Bloomberg.comDemocrat Mendoza Wins Arizona House Race, DDHQ Projects—
    34. 4 Nov, 03:18The HillWeiser wins Colorado governor race, succeeding Polis—
    35. 4 Nov, 03:20The HillRobert White wins DC's non-voting House seat—
    36. 4 Nov, 03:27The HillVasquez defends New Mexico House seat—
    37. 4 Nov, 03:30The HillDuffy’s son-in-law wins Wisconsin House seat—
    38. 4 Nov, 03:32The HillTaylor ousts Wittman from Virginia's 1st District in Democratic win—
    39. 4 Nov, 03:38The HillDeb Haaland wins New Mexico governor's race—
    40. 4 Nov, 03:44The HillDemocrat Don Leonard flips GOP-held Ohio House seat—
    41. 4 Nov, 03:44The HillFormer local news anchor Stelson unseats Perry in Pennsylvania's 10th District—
    42. 4 Nov, 03:45The HillFigures defends redrawn Alabama House seat in major victory for Democrats—
    43. 4 Nov, 03:51The Guardian USDeb Haaland wins in New Mexico and will become first female Native American governor—
    44. 4 Nov, 03:51The HillDemocrat Benson wins race to succeed Whitmer in Michigan—
    45. 4 Nov, 04:04The HillDemocrat ousts De la Cruz in key Texas House race, flipping battleground seat—
    46. 4 Nov, 04:05The HillJacqui Irwin holds onto retiring Brownley's House seat for Democrats—
    47. 4 Nov, 04:05The HillGOP New Jersey Rep. Van Drew loses to Democrat Zack Mullock—
    48. 4 Nov, 04:11The HillMLB’s Teixeira wins Roy’s open Texas House seat—
    49. 4 Nov, 04:13The HillDemocrat Matt Little wins Minnesota House race to succeed Craig—
    50. 4 Nov, 04:18The HillDemocrat Marni von Wilpert wins California race for Issa's House seat—
    51. 4 Nov, 04:19NPR PoliticsDemocrat Gina Hinojosa wins race for Texas governor, ousting Greg Abbott—
    52. 4 Nov, 04:20politico.comGina Hinojosa wins Texas governor's race — the first Democrat to do so in decades—
    53. 4 Nov, 04:20The Guardian USDemocrat Gina Hinojosa defeats Texas governor Greg Abbott in stunning upset—
    54. 4 Nov, 04:22The HillPoindexter topples Miller in Ohio amid scandal—
    55. 4 Nov, 04:25The HillRutinel ousts GOP’s Evans in toss-up Colorado House race—
    56. 4 Nov, 04:29The HillMcGowan wins Iowa House race for open Feenstra seat—
    57. 4 Nov, 04:33The HillMiller-Meeks loses reelection in battleground Iowa House race—
    58. 4 Nov, 04:33Bloomberg.comDemocrat Bohannan Wins Iowa House Race, DDHQ Projects—
    59. 4 Nov, 04:34Bloomberg.comDemocrat Trone Garriott Wins Iowa House Race, DDHQ Projects—
    60. 4 Nov, 04:37The HillLA County Supervisor Hilda Solis wins open California House seat—
    61. 4 Nov, 04:39The HillLindsay James wins in Iowa, turning Hinson's House seat blue—
    62. 4 Nov, 04:41theinformation.comStunning Democrat Victories in Texas Bring Uncertainty for Data Centers, Musk—
    63. 4 Nov, 04:42The HillLawler concedes to Democrat Cait Conley in New York House race—
    64. 4 Nov, 04:44Bloomberg.comDemocrat Davis Wins North Carolina House Race, NBC Projects—
    65. 4 Nov, 04:48The HillGray wins open Wyoming House seat—
    66. 4 Nov, 04:53Just In NewsTedford wins Oklahoma election to replace House’s Hern—
    67. 4 Nov, 05:02Mother JonesDemocrat Elaine Luria Retakes House Seat in Virginia Rematch—
    68. 4 Nov, 05:06Bloomberg.comDemocrat Cooke Wins Wisconsin House Race, NBC Projects—
    69. 4 Nov, 05:10The HillMcGuire flips California House seat in redistricting shake-up—
    70. 4 Nov, 05:22Just In NewsDavis defends North Carolina House seat, defeating Buckhout—
    71. 4 Nov, 05:27Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraDemocrats dominate NYC races, Hochul re-elected New York governor—
    72. 4 Nov, 05:28The HillWagner loses to Wellman in Missouri House district—
    73. 4 Nov, 05:35CBS News PoliticsDemocrat Bobby Pulido flips crucial South Texas district, defeating Rep. Monica De La Cruz—
    74. 4 Nov, 05:41The HillDemocrats hold on to redistricted House seat in Texas1%
    75. 4 Nov, 05:48The Hill NewsKingston wins Georgia House seat left open by Carter1%
    76. 4 Nov, 05:49CBS News PoliticsDemocrats flip Nebraska seat held by Trump critic Don Bacon1%
    77. 4 Nov, 05:55The HillHatcher wins Tennessee House race after defeating Ogles in GOP primary1%
    78. 4 Nov, 05:59The HillGarrett clinches Rose’s open House seat in Tennessee1%
    79. 4 Nov, 06:03The HillHarvie defeats Fitzpatrick in major pickup for Democrats1%
    80. 4 Nov, 06:09The HillDemocratic nurse defeats Steil in Wisconsin district1%
    81. 4 Nov, 06:20The HillGOP’s Taylor wins Cohen’s redistricted Tennessee House seat1%
    82. 4 Nov, 06:23The Hill NewsMusk-aligned lawyer to succeed McCaul in House1%
    83. 4 Nov, 06:34Bloomberg.comDemocrat Villegas Wins California House Race, DDHQ Projects1%
    84. 4 Nov, 06:35The Hill NewsValadao ousted in battleground California House contest1%
    85. 4 Nov, 06:41The Hill NewsNavy admiral fired by Hegseth flips Mace’s South Carolina seat1%
    86. 4 Nov, 06:44The HillDemocrat flips Gonzales’s former House seat in Texas1%
    87. 4 Nov, 06:48The HillKnickerbocker defeats Turner, flips Ohio House seat for Democrats1%
    88. 4 Nov, 06:49The HillLouisiana 5th District House race proceeds to runoff1%
    89. 4 Nov, 07:01CBS News PoliticsDemocrat Katy Padilla Stout flips ex-Rep. Tony Gonzales' seat1%
    90. 4 Nov, 07:07The HillForstag flips Montana House seat, beating Trump-backed opponent1%
    91. 4 Nov, 07:34The HillEnvironmental advocate defeats oil and natural gas executive in redrawn Texas House district1%
    92. 4 Nov, 07:36Fox News PoliticsDem wins Trump-targeted Texas district in rebuke of Republican redistricting shakeup1%
    93. 4 Nov, 07:38The HillFormer Justice Department official to succeed Luttrell in Texas district1%
    94. 4 Nov, 07:44The HillKaptur beats Merrin in Ohio House rematch1%
    95. 4 Nov, 08:49CBS News PoliticsDemocratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur wins Ohio rematch1%
    96. 4 Nov, 08:50The HillYarbrough wins Texas House election for redistricted Julie Johnson seat1%
    97. 4 Nov, 13:33Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraGaza volunteer Adam Hamawy wins historic US Congress seat2%▲1 points since the previous source
    98. 4 Nov, 13:37The HillSusie Lee wins reelection to Nevada House seat2%
    99. 4 Nov, 15:39The HillDemocrats clinch open Amodei House seat in Nevada2%
    100. 4 Nov, 15:43Mother JonesGOP Rep. María Elvira Salazar Has a Narrow Lead in Miami’s District 272%
    101. 4 Nov, 15:50The HillNorth Carolina Democrat Ojeda defeats NRCC chair Richard Hudson in House race2%
    102. 4 Nov, 16:49The HillDemocrat unseats Barrett in battleground Michigan House contest2%
    103. 4 Nov, 16:54The HillDemocrat Christina Hines flips House seat in Michigan2%
    104. 4 Nov, 17:14The HillGOP's Moore, Knott, McDowell ousted in North Carolina House races2%
    105. 4 Nov, 17:38The HillBonck wins House election for Hunt’s Texas seat2%
    106. 4 Nov, 17:59Fox News PoliticsHouse Dem who defied Hakeem Jeffries scores upset win in pro-Trump district2%
    107. 4 Nov, 18:13The HillSticker company CEO wins Stefanik’s New York House seat2%
    108. 4 Nov, 18:18BillboardFrom Billboard Charts to Congress: Musician Bobby Pulido Wins Historic South Texas Race for Democrats2%
    109. 4 Nov, 18:22Fox News PoliticsFar-left activist projected to defeat House Republican in heavy blow to GOP majority2%
    110. 4 Nov, 18:42The HillKiley loses House reelection bid in California2%
    111. 4 Nov, 18:47The GuardianCalifornia progressive Randy Villegas wins redrawn House seat for Democrats2%
    112. 4 Nov, 19:14Fox News PoliticsDem newcomer heads to Washington despite past ties to al Qaeda-linked group2%
    113. 4 Nov, 20:33Mother JonesScandal-Plagued Nevada Republican David Flippo Loses Nevada House Race2%
    114. 4 Nov, 20:55The HillTrever Nehls to replace brother Troy representing Texas in House2%
    115. 4 Nov, 23:56Inside Climate NewsConley’s Victory in New York’s Lower Hudson Valley Opens Door to Renewed Climate Action2%
    116. 5 Nov, 00:41The HillIowa Democrat who quit race wins seat anyway2%
    117. 5 Nov, 01:27Bloomberg.comWiener Set to Replace Pelosi in San Francisco as Chan Concedes2%
    118. 5 Nov, 01:32The HillGluesenkamp Perez holds on to Washington House seat2%
    119. 5 Nov, 01:44The HillDemocrats flip open Arizona House seat2%
    120. 5 Nov, 02:43The Hill NewsScott Wiener prevails in race to succeed retiring Pelosi1%▼1 points since the previous source
    121. 5 Nov, 13:29Fox News PoliticsAt 26, Sean Duffy's son-in-law is headed to Congress as its youngest member1%
    122. 5 Nov, 15:20Fox News Politics'Shock': Democrat flips deep-red House seat without airing a single TV ad as longtime Republican goes down1%
    123. 5 Nov, 15:20Fox News PoliticsDemocrat poised to flip deep-red House seat without airing a single TV ad1%
    124. 5 Nov, 18:30The HillDemocrat concedes in open race for Golden House seat in Maine1%
    125. 5 Nov, 19:22CBS News PoliticsGluesenkamp Perez wins competitive Washington race1%
    126. 5 Nov, 20:33Politico CongressTurner, Hudson among the latest GOP losers as Democrats reach 250 seats in the House1%
    127. 5 Nov, 20:50Mother JonesUtah—Yes, Utah—Sends a Democrat to Congress1%
    128. 5 Nov, 22:04The HillDemocrat who won surprise US House race facing felony charge1%
    129. 5 Nov, 22:39News - South China Morning PostWiener set to replace Pelosi in San Francisco, as Chan concedes1%
    130. 5 Nov, 22:47Fox News PoliticsEx-Biden official projected to win bid to unseat Mike Lawler in high-stakes House race1%
    131. 5 Nov, 23:19CBS News PoliticsLawler defeated in New York battleground district1%
    132. 6 Nov, 00:31The HillGOP’s McKinney wins election for Newhouse’s open Washington seat1%
    133. 6 Nov, 01:58Just In NewsDemocrat Jessica Killin flips longtime GOP-held Colorado House seat1%
    134. 6 Nov, 11:00The Guardian USHow a ‘flaming liberal’ podcast host won a US House seat in conservative Missouri1%
    135. 6 Nov, 13:32The HillToth wins open Crenshaw House seat in Texas1%
    136. 6 Nov, 13:52The HillTrump-backed Mark Lamb wins Arizona House seat1%
    137. 6 Nov, 16:01Fox News PoliticsDemocrat who toppled GOP incumbent will head to court on felony charge just days after election upset1%
    138. 6 Nov, 19:05The HillDemocrats flip battleground Michigan House seat, ousting Huizenga1%
    139. 7 Nov, 01:49The HillWahab beats fellow Democrat in heated race for Swalwell's House seat2%▲1 points since the previous source
12. 6 Nov, 21:45Market resolved: No