Russia Set to Extend Diesel Export Ban Beyond End of September
The move follows continued Ukrainian attacks on its refineries.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 1% |
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| 30 Sept, 23:06 UTC | 1% |
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| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 12% |
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| 27 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 7% |
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| 26 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 11% |
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| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 9% |
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| 25 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 12% |
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| 24 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 12% |
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| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 15% |
| 24 Sept, 13:24 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 10:55 UTC | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 08:01 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 19% |
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| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Sept, 00:23 UTC | 17% |
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| 23 Sept, 21:36 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Sept, 21:02 UTC | 16% |
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| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 17% |
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| 22 Sept, 19:35 UTC | 18% |
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| 22 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 20% |
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| 21 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 16% |
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| 21 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 16% |
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| 21 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 16% |
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| 21 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 17% |
| 21 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 19% |
| 20 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 20% |
| 20 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 20% |
| 20 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 20% |
| 20 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 20% |
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| 20 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Sept, 12:17 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Sept, 09:21 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 16:35 UTC | 26% |
| 19 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 26% |
| 19 Sept, 14:41 UTC | 26% |
| 19 Sept, 14:13 UTC | 27% |
| 19 Sept, 13:10 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 12:07 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 24% |
| 19 Sept, 10:33 UTC | 25% |
| 19 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 26% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Sept, 02:54 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Sept, 01:29 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 22:34 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 15:11 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 13:49 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 13:21 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Sept, 11:36 UTC | 25% |
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| 17 Sept, 10:55 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Sept, 10:23 UTC | 26% |
| 16 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 21:45 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Sept, 14:05 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 12:25 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Sept, 11:19 UTC | 26% |
| 16 Sept, 10:01 UTC | 26% |
| 16 Sept, 09:54 UTC | 26% |
| 16 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 08:41 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 08:28 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 35% |
| 16 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 34% |
| 16 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Sept, 04:19 UTC | 26% |
| 16 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Sept, 21:39 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 17:35 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Sept, 17:10 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Sept, 16:10 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Sept, 13:44 UTC | 28% |
| 15 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 29% |
| 15 Sept, 12:10 UTC | 29% |
| 15 Sept, 09:43 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 26% |
| 14 Sept, 22:52 UTC | 27% |
| 14 Sept, 17:45 UTC | 26% |
| 14 Sept, 08:21 UTC | 26% |
| 14 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 27% |
| 14 Sept, 05:50 UTC | 26% |
| 14 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 27% |
| 13 Sept, 23:20 UTC | 27% |
| 13 Sept, 20:09 UTC | 27% |
| 13 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 27% |
| 13 Sept, 19:26 UTC | 27% |
| 13 Sept, 15:53 UTC | 25% |
| 13 Sept, 14:14 UTC | 24% |
| 13 Sept, 12:52 UTC | 26% |
| 13 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 29% |
| 13 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Sept, 05:01 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Sept, 04:12 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Sept, 03:20 UTC | 34% |
| 13 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Sept, 20:38 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Sept, 19:45 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 39% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 21 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 21 September at 13:41 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Russian and Ukrainian officials hold an in-person diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Readers often mistake indirect talks through mediators for non-qualifying events, but these do count if authorized by the governments.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 37d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?