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AI Rout Deepens in Asia as Rubio Confirms He Will Remain in Post

A deepening AI-led market rout hits Asian equities while Marco Rubio confirms to the NYT he will stay in his post.

1 publisher · 10 articles · first seen 5 Nov 2026 · updated 27h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%21%4 Nov, 20:06 UTCnowBloomberg.com: AI-Led Selloff Hits Asia, Rubio Says He'll Remain in Post, More · 6 Nov, 04:31 UTCBloomberg.com: AI Rout Deepens in Asia, Rubio Denies Plans to Leave Post, More · 6 Nov, 03:52 UTCBloomberg.com: Tech Rout Grips Asia, NYT: Rubio Plans to Stay, More · 6 Nov, 02:50 UTCBloomberg.com: AI Slump Deepens in Asia, Rubio Tells NYT He's Staying, More · 6 Nov, 01:41 UTCBloomberg.com: AI Jitters Spread to Asia, NYT: Rubio Says He'll Stay, More · 6 Nov, 00:41 UTCBloomberg.com: AI Rout Deepens, Rubio Tells NYT He Will Stay, More · 5 Nov, 23:39 UTCBloomberg.com: AI Washout Rattles Equities, NYT: Rubio Plans to Stay, More · 5 Nov, 23:08 UTCBloomberg.com: Nasdaq AI Selloff Wipes Out $2.3T, Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving · 5 Nov, 22:04 UTCBloomberg.com: Stocks Close Lower on Market Rout, Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving · 5 Nov, 21:12 UTCBloomberg.com: Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving, Nvidia Slides on Market Rout, More · 5 Nov, 20:10 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now21%
7 Nov, 06:32 UTC20%
7 Nov, 05:57 UTC23%
7 Nov, 05:16 UTC22%
7 Nov, 04:33 UTC21%
7 Nov, 04:12 UTC23%
7 Nov, 02:46 UTC23%
7 Nov, 01:27 UTC23%
7 Nov, 00:37 UTC22%
6 Nov, 22:21 UTC23%
6 Nov, 21:01 UTC23%
6 Nov, 20:46 UTC25%
6 Nov, 19:54 UTC24%
6 Nov, 19:25 UTC25%
6 Nov, 18:34 UTC23%
6 Nov, 18:27 UTC20%
6 Nov, 17:57 UTC20%
6 Nov, 17:20 UTC22%
6 Nov, 16:13 UTC26%
6 Nov, 15:05 UTC22%
6 Nov, 14:18 UTC23%
6 Nov, 13:49 UTC22%
6 Nov, 13:05 UTC26%
6 Nov, 12:08 UTC30%
6 Nov, 11:38 UTC28%
6 Nov, 08:41 UTC25%
6 Nov, 06:00 UTC23%
6 Nov, 05:38 UTC21%
6 Nov, 04:49 UTC23%
6 Nov, 04:27 UTC29%
6 Nov, 03:51 UTC22%
6 Nov, 03:23 UTC20%
6 Nov, 02:52 UTC21%
6 Nov, 02:29 UTC20%
6 Nov, 00:12 UTC20%
5 Nov, 23:44 UTC23%
5 Nov, 23:01 UTC25%
5 Nov, 22:54 UTC28%
5 Nov, 22:18 UTC41%
5 Nov, 21:49 UTC43%
5 Nov, 21:26 UTC42%
5 Nov, 20:20 UTC43%
4 Nov, 20:06 UTC36%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 10 articles since 5 Nov 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 5 November at 20:10 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 6 November at 04:31 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 21%, with $21k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio leaves his role as Secretary of State or announces he will leave before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in office past that date without such an announcement. Readers often mistake the denial of reports for a definitive confirmation that he will stay.
  • Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? — the market puts it at 14%, with $28k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Marco Rubio leaves the Trump Administration or ceases to be a member by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of his resignation or removal before this deadline also triggers an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of when it takes effect. The primary source for resolution is official information from the Trump Administration, with credible consensus as a backup.
  • Marco Rubio — resolved “No” on 6 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio becomes the first member of Donald Trump’s Cabinet to leave or announce his departure after May 22, 2026. It resolves to No if he remains in office past that date without being the first to exit.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Bloomberg.comReport: Rubio Weighs Leaving, Nvidia Slides on Market Rout, More36%
  2. Bloomberg.comStocks Close Lower on Market Rout, Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving43%▲7 points since the previous source
  3. Bloomberg.comNasdaq AI Selloff Wipes Out $2.3T, Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving43%▼1 points since the previous source
  4. Bloomberg.comAI Washout Rattles Equities, NYT: Rubio Plans to Stay, More25%▼17 points since the previous source
  5. Bloomberg.comAI Rout Deepens, Rubio Tells NYT He Will Stay, More25%
  6. Bloomberg.comAI Jitters Spread to Asia, NYT: Rubio Says He'll Stay, More20%▼5 points since the previous source
  7. Bloomberg.comAI Slump Deepens in Asia, Rubio Tells NYT He's Staying, More20%
  8. Bloomberg.comTech Rout Grips Asia, NYT: Rubio Plans to Stay, More20%
  9. Bloomberg.comAI Rout Deepens in Asia, Rubio Denies Plans to Leave Post, More22%▲1 points since the previous source
  10. Bloomberg.comAI-Led Selloff Hits Asia, Rubio Says He'll Remain in Post, More29%▲8 points since the previous source
  11. Current odds21%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. AI-Led Selloff Hits Asia, Rubio Says He'll Remain in Post, More Bloomberg.com ·
  2. AI Rout Deepens in Asia, Rubio Denies Plans to Leave Post, More Bloomberg.com ·
  3. Tech Rout Grips Asia, NYT: Rubio Plans to Stay, More Bloomberg.com ·
  4. AI Slump Deepens in Asia, Rubio Tells NYT He's Staying, More Bloomberg.com ·
  5. AI Jitters Spread to Asia, NYT: Rubio Says He'll Stay, More Bloomberg.com ·
  6. AI Rout Deepens, Rubio Tells NYT He Will Stay, More Bloomberg.com ·
Show 4 more sources
  1. AI Washout Rattles Equities, NYT: Rubio Plans to Stay, More Bloomberg.com ·
  2. Nasdaq AI Selloff Wipes Out $2.3T, Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving Bloomberg.com ·
  3. Stocks Close Lower on Market Rout, Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving Bloomberg.com ·
  4. Report: Rubio Weighs Leaving, Nvidia Slides on Market Rout, More Bloomberg.com ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 21% −2 $21k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? 14% −1 $28k 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Marco Rubio No 12h ago

    The market favoured No at 81% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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