Coinbase Returns to Profitability as Robinhood Misses Earnings on Crypto Slump
Coinbase posted a $719 million profit while Robinhood missed earnings expectations as crypto revenue fell, though prediction markets grew significantly.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 6 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 100% |
| 28 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 95% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? respond.
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 26 Oct 2026. Cointelegraph.com News published first, on 26 October at 13:12 UTC; decrypt.co followed 31h 30m later. The most recent article, from The Block, appeared on 30 October at 08:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Cointelegraph.com News, decrypt.co, The Block, Quartz, theinformation.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? — resolved “Yes” on 29 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Coinbase reports a GAAP EPS greater than -$0.10 in its next quarterly earnings release, and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source; only the official earnings document or SeekingAlpha counts. The deadline is 4:00 PM ET on the day earnings are announced, not the date of the news article.
- Above $65 billion — the market puts it at 13%, closing 12 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robinhood Markets Inc. reports that its total event contract trading volume exceeds $65 billion during fiscal 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar year instead of the end of Robinhood's fiscal 2026.
- Above 5.2 million — the market puts it at 80%, closing 12 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Robinhood Markets Inc. reports having more than 5.2 million gold subscribers in fiscal 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of calendar year 2026 instead of the end of Robinhood's fiscal year.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Cointelegraph.com NewsHOOD’s prediction markets to add $1.7B to revenue, exceed crypto by 2028: Bernstein—
- decrypt.coRobinhood Misses Q3 Earnings as Crypto Revenue Rises and Prediction Market Bets Grow—
- The BlockRobinhood Chain brings in $26 million as crypto revenue rises 20% in Q3—
- QuartzRobinhood stock slides as crypto slump pulls profit below expectations—
- CoinDeskCoinbase earnings: Wall Street divided on trading rebound after Robinhood crypto revenue sinks 55%—
- The BlockRobinhood earnings miss, crypto weakness fail to shake Wall Street’s bullish outlook—
- Bloomberg MarketsCoinbase Returns to Profitability While Posting Another Revenue Drop95%
- decrypt.coCoinbase Swings to $719 Million Q3 Profit on Crypto Gains95%
- theinformation.comCoinbase Revenue Fell 35%, Partially Offset by Prediction Market100%▲6 points since the previous source
- The BlockCoinbase Q3 net income jumps 66% as prediction markets gain traction100%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Coinbase Returns to Profitability While Posting Another Revenue Drop Bloomberg Markets ·
- Coinbase earnings: Wall Street divided on trading rebound after Robinhood crypto revenue sinks 55% CoinDesk ·
- Coinbase Q3 net income jumps 66% as prediction markets gain traction The Block
- Coinbase Revenue Fell 35%, Partially Offset by Prediction Market theinformation.com
- Coinbase Swings to $719 Million Q3 Profit on Crypto Gains decrypt.co
- Robinhood earnings miss, crypto weakness fail to shake Wall Street’s bullish outlook The Block
Show 4 more sources
- Robinhood stock slides as crypto slump pulls profit below expectations Quartz
- Robinhood Chain brings in $26 million as crypto revenue rises 20% in Q3 The Block
- Robinhood Misses Q3 Earnings as Crypto Revenue Rises and Prediction Market Bets Grow decrypt.co
- HOOD’s prediction markets to add $1.7B to revenue, exceed crypto by 2028: Bernstein Cointelegraph.com News
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 8d ago
The market favoured Yes at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above $65 billion 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 5.2 million 80%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Coinbase
- Robinhood
- Bernstein