RNC Injects $50M Into Midterm Races To Defend Majorities
The Republican National Committee transfers funds to groups boosting GOP candidates in the final two weeks before Election Day.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 13:40 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 07:55 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 02:01 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 17:41 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 16:42 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 15:19 UTC | 3% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 00:48 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 23:36 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 10:57 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 09:01 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 08:32 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 01:03 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 22:40 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 8% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 03:07 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 4% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 20 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 20 October at 17:14 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Republican Party — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Republicans lose their majority in the U.S. House of Representatives between now and November 3, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but only the official election results after November 3, 2026, determine the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Republican Party No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Republican National Committee
- New York Times