RFK Jr.-Aligned PAC Spends Over $1 Million in Iowa Governor's Race
MAHA Action PAC, linked to Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., has committed more than $1 million to the Iowa governor’s race.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 9% |
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| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 9% |
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| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 12% |
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| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 13% |
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| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 16% |
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| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 16% |
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| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 17% |
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| 28 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 12% |
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| 25 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 12% |
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| 22 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 12% |
| 21 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 12% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 11% |
| 18 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 13% |
| 18 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 12% |
| 18 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 12% |
| 18 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 11% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 13% |
| 17 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 12% |
| 17 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 12% |
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| 16 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 22:36 UTC | 11% |
| 15 Oct, 12:23 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 11% |
| 13 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 10% |
| 13 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 12% |
| 13 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 09:41 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Sept, 08:24 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 19% |
| 22 Sept, 09:20 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 19% |
| 20 Sept, 17:43 UTC | 24% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 15 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 15 October at 18:44 UTC; politico.com followed 40h 16m later. The most recent article, from politico.com, appeared on 17 October at 11:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election, while No applies to any other result. The market resolves only when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or by official certification if they do not agree. Readers often mistake the linked story about Senate nominee Hinson as relevant to this specific governor race.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 89% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- MAHA
- Tony Lyons
- Iowa