Post-Tropical Storm Rachel Batters Southern California and Floods Las Vegas
The remnants of Tropical Storm Rachel caused flooding in Las Vegas and battered coastal homes in Southern California.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 22:36 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 28% |
| 3 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 9% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 64% |
| 2 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 62% |
| 2 Oct, 06:24 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 74% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 29% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 12 Oct 2026. BBC Science published first, on 12 October at 16:12 UTC; The Guardian US followed 26h 12m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 13 October at 18:25 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), BBC Science.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Category 4 or above — the market puts it at 1%, with $73 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Hurricane Rachel achieves maximum sustained winds of at least 130 mph. It resolves to No if the storm does not reach that wind speed threshold. Readers often mistake the current category or intensity for the final resolution, but only the specific wind speed matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Category 4 or above 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Tropical Storm Rachel
- Southern California
- Las Vegas
- Baja California