Portugal beat Norway to reach Nations League quarter-finals without Ronaldo
Portugal defeated Norway 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League, securing a quarter-final spot despite Cristiano Ronaldo's absence.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Sept, 18:17 UTC | 48% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Portugal respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 4 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 4 October at 01:00 UTC; Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera followed 14h 47m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 4 October at 21:42 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Portugal — the market puts it at 9%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Portugal wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League title. It resolves to No if any other team claims the championship. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a specific match for the final tournament result.
- Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? — the market puts it at 12%, with $910 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Portugal wins if they are crowned champions of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if Portugal is eliminated from contention or if the tournament ends without a winner by June 13, 2027. Readers often mistake a single match victory for winning the entire tournament.
- Portugal — the market puts it at 8%, closing 15 Aug 2028. Portugal wins the 2028 UEFA European Championship title. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final match date rather than the official tournament conclusion.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Portugal at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedPortugal vs. Norway—Nations League: Preview, Predictions and Lineups4%
- SI FeedHow to Watch Portugal vs. Norway on TV, Live Stream10%▲6 points since the previous source
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraLIVE: Portugal vs Norway – UEFA Nations League10%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraRonaldo-less Portugal beat Norway 2-1 to reach Nations League quarterfinals18%▲8 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportNations League roundup: Haaland limps off in Norway’s loss to Portugal18%
- Current odds9%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nations League roundup: Haaland limps off in Norway’s loss to Portugal The Guardian Sport ·
- Ronaldo-less Portugal beat Norway 2-1 to reach Nations League quarterfinals Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- LIVE: Portugal vs Norway – UEFA Nations League Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- How to Watch Portugal vs. Norway on TV, Live Stream SI Feed
- Portugal vs. Norway—Nations League: Preview, Predictions and Lineups SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Portugal 9% −6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? 12% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Portugal 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Portugal
- Norway
- Cristiano Ronaldo
- UEFA Nations League
- Erling Haaland
- Gonçalo Ramos