Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Implied probability 12%−1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$32k
Resolves14 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 11% |
| 6 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 13% |
| 6 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 05:30 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 13:54 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 11% |
| 2 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 11% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 11% |
| 2 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 13% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Portugal wins if they are crowned champions of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if Portugal is eliminated from contention or if the tournament ends without a winner by June 13, 2027. Readers often mistake a single match victory for winning the entire tournament.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%
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