Palantir drops legal case against Sadiq Khan over cancelled £50mn contract
The US tech firm and the London mayor have withdrawn their high court allegations, ending a dispute over a scrapped policing deal.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 9% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 7% |
| 18 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 10% |
| 17 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 7% |
| 16 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 06:03 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 08:18 UTC | 11% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Palantir respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 14 Oct 2026. The Guardian Business published first, on 14 October at 05:00 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 10h 30m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 14 October at 16:35 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Palantir — the market puts it at 8%, with $105 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if any part of the U.S. federal government acquires a stake in Palantir before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly think news about private investors or foreign governments counts toward resolution.
- International — resolved “Yes” on 3 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Palantir representative mentions International during the next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Sadiq Khan for the resolution trigger, but only statements made on the call count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Palantir at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian BusinessPalantir is worming its way into the British state – it’s time to curb this controversial US company’s influence | George Monbiot7%
- Bloomberg TechnologyPalantir Settles Suit With London Mayor Over Scrapped Policing Contract7%
- The GuardianPalantir and Sadiq Khan drop legal battle over Met contract7%
- News FeedPalantir drops legal case against Sadiq Khan over cancelled £50mn contract7%
- Current odds8%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Palantir drops legal case against Sadiq Khan over cancelled £50mn contract News Feed ·
- Palantir and Sadiq Khan drop legal battle over Met contract The Guardian ·
- Palantir Settles Suit With London Mayor Over Scrapped Policing Contract Bloomberg Technology ·
- Palantir is worming its way into the British state – it’s time to curb this controversial US company’s influence | George Monbiot The Guardian Business ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Palantir 8%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved International Yes 4d ago
The market favoured Yes at 97% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Palantir
- Sadiq Khan
- Metropolitan police