Palantir
Implied probability 8%−1
24-hour volume$49
Total volume$83k
Liquidity$83k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if any part of the U.S. federal government acquires a stake in Palantir before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly think news about private investors or foreign governments counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%