Palantir Revenue Surges as Commercial Business Overtakes Government Segment
Palantir reported third-quarter revenue of $2.3 billion, driven by commercial sales that surpassed government earnings despite slowing bookings growth.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by MarketWatch, 7 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 99% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Above 1100 respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 2 Nov 2026. MarketWatch published first, on 2 November at 21:09 UTC; Bloomberg Technology followed 7 min later. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 5 November at 11:34 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), MarketWatch, Fortune, www.theregister.com.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Above 1100 — the market puts it at 99%, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Palantir Technologies Inc. reports a total customer count above 1100 in 2026. It resolves to No if that specific threshold is not met according to their official report. Readers often mistake the linked news story about land purchases for the actual metric, but only the reported customer count matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 1100 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- MarketWatchPalantir earnings reveal a major AI turning point99%
- Bloomberg TechnologyPalantir Boosts 2026 Revenue Outlook on Strong Commercial Sales99%
- FortunePalantir’s revenue rises 96% to $2.3 billion as investors’ patience rests on a hair trigger97%▼2 points since the previous source
- MarketWatchPalantir stock is down 8%. Analysts say bookings growth is to blame.99%▲2 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg TechnologyPalantir Growth Slows From Breakneck Pace99%
- TechCrunchHiding inside Palantir’s skyrocketing quarter is a foreboding signal99%
- www.theregister.comPalantir CEO says it's pioneering an antiwar movement – while happily accepting defense dollars99%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPalantir mines battlefield intelligence but is Ukraine ‘paying with blood’?99%
- Current odds99%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Palantir mines battlefield intelligence but is Ukraine ‘paying with blood’? Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Hiding inside Palantir’s skyrocketing quarter is a foreboding signal TechCrunch ·
- Palantir Growth Slows From Breakneck Pace Bloomberg Technology ·
- Palantir Boosts 2026 Revenue Outlook on Strong Commercial Sales Bloomberg Technology ·
- Palantir CEO says it's pioneering an antiwar movement – while happily accepting defense dollars www.theregister.com
- Palantir stock is down 8%. Analysts say bookings growth is to blame. MarketWatch
- Palantir’s revenue rises 96% to $2.3 billion as investors’ patience rests on a hair trigger Fortune
- Palantir earnings reveal a major AI turning point MarketWatch
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Above 1100 99%
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In this story
- Palantir
- Alex Karp
- Morgan Stanley