OpenAI Closes $11 Billion Funding Round Valuing Firm at $1.25 Trillion
The AI developer has wired the initial portion of a round that could reach $20 billion, while also launching a new cybersecurity model.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by theinformation.com, 2h 06m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 13 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 00:27 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 4% |
| 5 Nov, 11:03 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 21:18 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 13:02 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 5% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 23:00 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 16:15 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 6% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? respond.
The story so far
16 publishers have covered this in 39 articles since 26 Oct 2026. theinformation.com published first, on 26 October at 19:39 UTC; decrypt.co followed 2h 06m later. The most recent article, from theinformation.com, appeared on 6 November at 21:57 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: International homepage (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), CoinDesk (major outlet), Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), theinformation.com, decrypt.co, www.theregister.com, marktechpost.com, Quartz, OpenAI, Inc. and 4 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? — the market puts it at 4%, with $411 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves by checking the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. OpenAI wins if its model holds the highest rank or breaks ties in favor of its company name at that exact moment. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the day rather than the specific 12:00 PM ET check time.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? — the market puts it at 4%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI owns the model with the highest rank on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard at noon ET on November 30, 2026. The resolution relies strictly on the official leaderboard data from that specific source and time, ignoring any models marked as AutoEval. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the month or assume other ranking systems determine the winner.
- Information Technology — the market puts it at 94%, closing 11 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI is officially classified in the Information Technology sector. It resolves to No if that classification does not happen. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about OpenAI's actions rather than its corporate sector assignment.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- theinformation.comOpenAI Unveils Cheaper Terra Model Amid Anthropic Pricing Battle—
- decrypt.coOpenAI Launches GPT-6.1 Terra, Its Half-Good AI Model at Half the Price—
- www.theregister.comOpenAI rolls out budget-priced mid-tier GPT-6.1 Terra—
- marktechpost.comOpenAI Launches GPT-6.1 Terra, Halving GPT-6.1 Sol’s API Price for Agent Work—
- QuartzOpenAI is launching a cheaper mid-tier AI model for everyday computer tasks—
- QuartzOpenAI führt ein günstigeres Mittelklasse-AI-Modell für alltägliche Computeraufgaben ein.—
- OpenAIRetell uses OpenAI models to help power 100M monthly calls—
- Inc.OpenAI Says Its Newest Model Is Better at This 1 Skill. It Starts With Being Honest—
- theinformation.comOpenAI’s Astra Model Becomes Top Distillation Target for China’s AI Labs—
- Quartz10 AI models compared by LMArena Elo, price, and specialty—
Show 29 later sources
- OpenAIAn updated Model Spec for more capable and beneficial AI—
- International homepageOpenAI slashes funding target by $10bn as tech anxieties mount—
- Hacker NewsOpenAI raises less than half of $30B target—
- TechCrunchOpenAI reportedly lowers funding target for new round6%
- TechCrunchOpenAI is finally merging ChatGPT’s chat and Work tabs5%▼1 points since the previous source
- theinformation.comExclusive: OpenAI Sign Deals With Magnite, PubMatic to Fill Unused ChatGPT Ad Space5%
- OpenAIScaling Git at OpenAI5%
- QuartzOpenAI sagt, dass ihr GPT-6 Astra-Modell 80 % im Alltagstest erreicht hat.5%
- OpenAIPreparing our next security sprint to harden OpenAI5%
- Latest newsOpenAI will merge ChatGPT’s chat and work tabs – here’s when, and what to expect5%
- QuartzOpenAI gibt an, dass sein GPT-6 Astra-Modell bei einem Alltagsaufgabentest 80 % erzielt hat.5%
- decrypt.coClaude Fable 5.5, GPT 6.2 Astra Could Be Right Around the Corner, Leaks Suggest5%
- marktechpost.comOpenAI Introduces Pando: A Git Backend That Cuts Median Push Latency ~80%5%
- Hacker NewsOpenAI seems to be silently re-enabling model training on Codex chats5%
- The VergeOpenAI says ChatGPT is catching up to Google in search5%
- marktechpost.comOpenAI Launches GPT-Image-2.6 Flare and Sunburst: Adds GIFs, SVG Export and 6-Second API Generation4%▼1 points since the previous source
- OpenAIMerge builds product and business tools with OpenAI technology4%
- CoinDeskOpenAI says its AI can break into Linux at scale. Here's what it means for crypto4%
- OpenAIGPT‑6 Cyber: Advancing the frontier of aligned cybersecurity agents4%
- The VergeOpenAI says its new cybersecurity model is better at not hacking other companies4%
- www.theregister.comOpenAI releases GPT-6 Cyber, and promises this one stays within 'rules of engagement'4%
- FortuneOpenAI debuts new cybersecurity-focused AI model amid growing alarm about AI-driven cyber attacks4%
- FortuneOpenAI’s Dots are coming up against the price of privacy, and the price of compute4%
- TechCrunchOpenAI released a new cybersecurity model. Is that enough?4%
- theinformation.comCan Cheaper AI Outrun the Data Center Backlash?4%
- cnet.comMan Sues OpenAI After Wife Allegedly Used ChatGPT to Help Poison Him4%
- OpenAIPartnering with Hacktron to find vulnerabilities in OpenAI’s systems5%
- Bloomberg TechnologyOpenAI Completes $11 Billion Portion of Funding at $1.25 Trillion Value5%
- theinformation.comOpenAI Secured $11 Billion, Targets $9 Billion More In Fundraising5%
- Current odds4%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- OpenAI Completes $11 Billion Portion of Funding at $1.25 Trillion Value Bloomberg Technology ·
- OpenAI released a new cybersecurity model. Is that enough? TechCrunch ·
- OpenAI says its new cybersecurity model is better at not hacking other companies The Verge ·
- OpenAI says its AI can break into Linux at scale. Here's what it means for crypto CoinDesk ·
- OpenAI says ChatGPT is catching up to Google in search The Verge ·
- OpenAI is finally merging ChatGPT’s chat and Work tabs TechCrunch ·
Show 33 more sources
- OpenAI reportedly lowers funding target for new round TechCrunch ·
- OpenAI slashes funding target by $10bn as tech anxieties mount International homepage ·
- OpenAI Secured $11 Billion, Targets $9 Billion More In Fundraising theinformation.com
- Man Sues OpenAI After Wife Allegedly Used ChatGPT to Help Poison Him cnet.com
- Can Cheaper AI Outrun the Data Center Backlash? theinformation.com
- OpenAI’s Dots are coming up against the price of privacy, and the price of compute Fortune
- OpenAI debuts new cybersecurity-focused AI model amid growing alarm about AI-driven cyber attacks Fortune
- OpenAI releases GPT-6 Cyber, and promises this one stays within 'rules of engagement' www.theregister.com
- OpenAI Launches GPT-Image-2.6 Flare and Sunburst: Adds GIFs, SVG Export and 6-Second API Generation marktechpost.com
- OpenAI Introduces Pando: A Git Backend That Cuts Median Push Latency ~80% marktechpost.com
- Claude Fable 5.5, GPT 6.2 Astra Could Be Right Around the Corner, Leaks Suggest decrypt.co
- OpenAI gibt an, dass sein GPT-6 Astra-Modell bei einem Alltagsaufgabentest 80 % erzielt hat. Quartz
- OpenAI will merge ChatGPT’s chat and work tabs – here’s when, and what to expect Latest news
- OpenAI sagt, dass ihr GPT-6 Astra-Modell 80 % im Alltagstest erreicht hat. Quartz
- Exclusive: OpenAI Sign Deals With Magnite, PubMatic to Fill Unused ChatGPT Ad Space theinformation.com
- 10 AI models compared by LMArena Elo, price, and specialty Quartz
- OpenAI’s Astra Model Becomes Top Distillation Target for China’s AI Labs theinformation.com
- OpenAI Says Its Newest Model Is Better at This 1 Skill. It Starts With Being Honest Inc.
- OpenAI is launching a cheaper mid-tier AI model for everyday computer tasks Quartz
- OpenAI führt ein günstigeres Mittelklasse-AI-Modell für alltägliche Computeraufgaben ein. Quartz
- OpenAI Launches GPT-6.1 Terra, Halving GPT-6.1 Sol’s API Price for Agent Work marktechpost.com
- OpenAI rolls out budget-priced mid-tier GPT-6.1 Terra www.theregister.com
- OpenAI Launches GPT-6.1 Terra, Its Half-Good AI Model at Half the Price decrypt.co
- OpenAI Unveils Cheaper Terra Model Amid Anthropic Pricing Battle theinformation.com
- Partnering with Hacktron to find vulnerabilities in OpenAI’s systems OpenAI
- GPT‑6 Cyber: Advancing the frontier of aligned cybersecurity agents OpenAI
- Merge builds product and business tools with OpenAI technology OpenAI
- OpenAI seems to be silently re-enabling model training on Codex chats Hacker News
- Preparing our next security sprint to harden OpenAI OpenAI
- Scaling Git at OpenAI OpenAI
- OpenAI raises less than half of $30B target Hacker News
- An updated Model Spec for more capable and beneficial AI OpenAI
- Retell uses OpenAI models to help power 100M monthly calls OpenAI
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? 4%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? 4% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Information Technology 94%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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