Olivia Rodrigo Returns to No. 1 on Billboard 200 With 'You Seem Pretty Sad'
The album regains the top spot after a remix with Chappell Roan, while Zach Bryan's new release debuts at number two.
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The odds
All 2 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 19:30 UTC | 1% |
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| 1 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 2% |
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| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 2% |
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| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 3% |
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| 30 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 14% |
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| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 11% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 36% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 36% |
| 30 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 24% |
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| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 24% |
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| 29 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 30% |
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| 29 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 26% |
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| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 24% |
| 29 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 38% |
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| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 34% |
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| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 28% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 34% |
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| 28 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 40% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 45% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 46% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 55% |
| 28 Oct, 10:16 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 09:10 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 62% |
| 28 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 41% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 56% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 30% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 52% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Oct, 14:36 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 48% |
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| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 56% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 04:06 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 57% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 57% |
| 26 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 14:30 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 91% |
| 26 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 89% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 89% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 89% |
| 26 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 88% |
| 26 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 77% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 81% |
| 26 Oct, 01:19 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 94% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 93% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 93% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 25 Oct 2026. Billboard published first, on 25 October at 19:01 UTC; Variety followed 27 min later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 25 October at 19:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), Billboard.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? — resolved “No” on 2 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on the album ranked number one on the Billboard 200 chart dated "Week of November 7, 2026." This specific chart reflects sales and streaming data from the previous Friday through Thursday. Readers often mistake the publication date of the chart for the relevant week or assume the linked news headline determines the ranking instead of the official published chart.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? No 5d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Olivia Rodrigo
- Chappell Roan
- Billboard 200
- Zach Bryan