NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani Receives Federal Security Clearance After Nine Months in Office
The mayor also declined a request to text Donald Trump a selfie with Jimmy Kimmel and promoted the Bronx School of Hip-Hop with Nas.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Variety, 2h 13m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 80% |
| 2 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 81% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 79% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 76% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 79% |
| 1 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 89% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 75% |
| 29 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 70% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 71% |
| 25 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 60% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Zohran Mamdani respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 29 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 29 September at 05:01 UTC; Rolling Stone followed 2h 13m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 1 October at 19:43 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), Rolling Stone, The A.V. Club, Billboard, Consequence, Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Zohran Mamdani — the market puts it at 78%, with $119 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Nov 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins the next New York City mayoral election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about planting an olive tree for the actual election result.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if Zohran Mamdani wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, as determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for him. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $538 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the Democratic nomination for president in 2028, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. It resolves to No if he does not secure that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the resolution depends on the general election results rather than the party nomination process.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Zohran Mamdani at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- VarietyMayor Zohran Mamdani Refuses Jimmy Kimmel’s Request to Text Trump a Selfie of Them69%
- Rolling StoneZohran Mamdani Refuses to Text Trump a Selfie of Him and Jimmy Kimmel69%
- The A.V. ClubZohran Mamdani chooses affordable housing over trolling Trump with Jimmy Kimmel73%▲4 points since the previous source
- BillboardMayor Zohran Mamdani Wants to Restore NYC’s Rap Capital Status: ‘We Can’t Be Content With … Simply Being the Birthplace’80%▲7 points since the previous source
- ConsequenceNas and Mayor Zohran Mamdani Celebrate Bronx School of Hip-Hop in New Video: Watch78%▼2 points since the previous source
- The HillMamdani gets federal security clearance after 9 months as NYC mayor74%▼4 points since the previous source
- Fox News PoliticsMamdani's taxpayer-funded influencer army accused of plotting pressure campaign against NYC CEOs74%
- Rolling StoneMayor Mamdani and Nas Have a Heart to Heart About Keeping NYC the Home of Hip Hop80%▲6 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsMamdani Names NYC Districts for Affordable Housing Fast-Track81%▲1 points since the previous source
- Current odds78%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Mamdani Names NYC Districts for Affordable Housing Fast-Track Bloomberg Markets ·
- Mamdani gets federal security clearance after 9 months as NYC mayor The Hill ·
- Mayor Zohran Mamdani Refuses Jimmy Kimmel’s Request to Text Trump a Selfie of Them Variety ·
- Mayor Mamdani and Nas Have a Heart to Heart About Keeping NYC the Home of Hip Hop Rolling Stone
- Mamdani's taxpayer-funded influencer army accused of plotting pressure campaign against NYC CEOs Fox News Politics
- Nas and Mayor Zohran Mamdani Celebrate Bronx School of Hip-Hop in New Video: Watch Consequence
Show 3 more sources
- Mayor Zohran Mamdani Wants to Restore NYC’s Rap Capital Status: ‘We Can’t Be Content With … Simply Being the Birthplace’ Billboard
- Zohran Mamdani chooses affordable housing over trolling Trump with Jimmy Kimmel The A.V. Club
- Zohran Mamdani Refuses to Text Trump a Selfie of Him and Jimmy Kimmel Rolling Stone
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Zohran Mamdani 78% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Zohran Mamdani
- Jimmy Kimmel
- Donald Trump
- Nas