Zohran Mamdani
Implied probability 82%−2
24-hour volume$170
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves6 Nov 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 82% |
| 6 Nov, 20:31 UTC | 82% |
| 6 Nov, 20:02 UTC | 83% |
| 6 Nov, 14:41 UTC | 82% |
| 6 Nov, 01:45 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Nov, 20:35 UTC | 84% |
| 5 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 01:56 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 87% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 11:43 UTC | 84% |
| 31 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 80% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins the next New York City mayoral election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about planting an olive tree for the actual election result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 82%
- No 18%