NRSC Chair Tim Scott Leaves Georgia, North Carolina Off Top Senate Targets

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Sept 2026. Politico published first, on 23 September at 21:43 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• North Carolina — the market puts it at 0%, with $12k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if North Carolina has the smallest margin of victory among all 2026 US Senate elections as of January 3, 2027. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the date of the election for the resolution deadline.
• Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 North Carolina Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Democrat or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, but the market only closes once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or upon official certification if they do not agree.
• Republican party — the market puts it at 6%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 27 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Republicans control the North Carolina State Senate after the 2026 elections. The outcome is No if they do not. Readers often mistake this for a race for the U.S. Senate or confuse the state legislature with the governor's office.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.