Nor'easter Storm Batters US East Coast, Killing One and Causing Widespread Flooding
A powerful nor'easter has killed at least one person and left hundreds of thousands without power across the US Northeast while causing severe coastal flooding.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 10% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 06:37 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 18:12 UTC | 1% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Fay respond.
The story so far
12 publishers have covered this in 29 articles since 23 Sept 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 23 September at 14:03 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 23h 00m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 28 September at 15:17 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com, BBC Science, South China Morning Post, Times of India, Deutsche Welle.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Fay — the market puts it at 2%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a storm named Fay becomes a hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean between May 15, 2026, and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if no such storm occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the current intensification of Tropical Storm Fay for a resolution, but the outcome depends entirely on whether it reaches hurricane status during the specified future dates.
- Lowell — the market puts it at 6%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a storm named Lowell becomes a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026, and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if this specific condition is not met within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked East Coast flooding for the resolution criteria, but only the storm's status as an Eastern Pacific hurricane matters.
- Above 10 — the market puts it at 31%, with $25 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the end date as December 31, but the official window closes on December 1.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Fay at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian USNew York and Boston face weekend nor’easter with high winds1%
- Bloomberg MarketsHochul Warns New York Residents of Flooding From Weekend Storm5%▲4 points since the previous source
- The Guardian US‘Significant’ nor’easter brings high winds and heavy rain to US east coast6%▲1 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsNor'easter Strengthens Threatening Millions Along US East Coast9%▲3 points since the previous source
- The HillNew York, New Jersey declare states of emergency ahead of nor'easter1%▼8 points since the previous source
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesMillions in the US Northeast brace for a powerful storm1%
- Bloomberg MarketsNortheast Faces Wind, Rain and Coastal Flooding1%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUnusually powerful storm pummels northeast US with heavy rain, high winds3%▲2 points since the previous source
- feeds.bleacherreport.comUpdated Weather Forecasts for Giants, Bills' NFL Games amid Flooding, Strong Winds from Nor'easter3%
- The New York TimesHow El Niño Is Shaping Storms on Two Sides of the U.S.3%
Show 19 later sources
- BBC ScienceNor'easter storm brings coastal flooding, as New York and New Jersey declare emergency3%
- The Guardian USMajor storm in US north-east knocks out power for 100,000 and floods roads3%
- South China Morning PostPowerful storm pummels northeast US with rain and high winds3%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPowerful storm brings flooding, power outages to northeastern United States3%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPowerful storm batters US Northeast disrupting power and travel3%
- Times of IndiaWinds, floods, 20-foot waves: What’s behind the nor’easter battering US East Coast3%
- Deutsche WellePowerful storm batters northeast US, hundreds of flights canceled3%
- Bloomberg.comNor'easter Batters East Coast, Iran Won’t Soften Demands, More3%
- Phys.org - latest science and technology news storiesPowerful storm pummels Northeast US with rain, high winds3%
- The Hill NewsSevere weather impacting East Coast, Hawaii this weekend3%
- Bloomberg.comNor'easter Floods East Coast, Kills 1, Iran Hormuz Demands, More3%
- Bloomberg.comStrong Storm Batters East Coast, Iran Won’t Soften Demands, More3%
- Bloomberg MarketsNortheast Storm Brings Wind, Rain and Flooding3%
- The Guardian USNor’easter storm batters US east coast with heavy winds and power outages3%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraPowerful storm floods US Northeast, causes power outages3%
- Times of IndiaUS Northeast battered by nor’easter as tidal surges flood homes, streets3%
- France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesPowerful storm batters US northeast3%
- The Guardian USNor’easter storm floods coastal areas from New Jersey to New England3%
- The Guardian USNor'easter storm triggers heavy flooding across US east coast – video3%
- Current odds2%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nor'easter storm triggers heavy flooding across US east coast – video The Guardian US ·
- Nor’easter storm floods coastal areas from New Jersey to New England The Guardian US ·
- Powerful storm floods US Northeast, causes power outages Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Nor’easter storm batters US east coast with heavy winds and power outages The Guardian US ·
- Northeast Storm Brings Wind, Rain and Flooding Bloomberg Markets ·
- Strong Storm Batters East Coast, Iran Won’t Soften Demands, More Bloomberg.com ·
Show 23 more sources
- Nor'easter Floods East Coast, Kills 1, Iran Hormuz Demands, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Severe weather impacting East Coast, Hawaii this weekend The Hill News ·
- Nor'easter Batters East Coast, Iran Won’t Soften Demands, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Powerful storm batters US Northeast disrupting power and travel Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Powerful storm brings flooding, power outages to northeastern United States Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Major storm in US north-east knocks out power for 100,000 and floods roads The Guardian US ·
- How El Niño Is Shaping Storms on Two Sides of the U.S. The New York Times ·
- Northeast Faces Wind, Rain and Coastal Flooding Bloomberg Markets ·
- New York, New Jersey declare states of emergency ahead of nor'easter The Hill ·
- Nor'easter Strengthens Threatening Millions Along US East Coast Bloomberg Markets ·
- ‘Significant’ nor’easter brings high winds and heavy rain to US east coast The Guardian US ·
- Hochul Warns New York Residents of Flooding From Weekend Storm Bloomberg Markets ·
- New York and Boston face weekend nor’easter with high winds The Guardian US ·
- Powerful storm batters US northeast France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- US Northeast battered by nor’easter as tidal surges flood homes, streets Times of India
- Powerful storm pummels Northeast US with rain, high winds Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
- Powerful storm batters northeast US, hundreds of flights canceled Deutsche Welle
- Winds, floods, 20-foot waves: What’s behind the nor’easter battering US East Coast Times of India
- Powerful storm pummels northeast US with rain and high winds South China Morning Post
- Nor'easter storm brings coastal flooding, as New York and New Jersey declare emergency BBC Science
- Updated Weather Forecasts for Giants, Bills' NFL Games amid Flooding, Strong Winds from Nor'easter feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Unusually powerful storm pummels northeast US with heavy rain, high winds France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines
- Millions in the US Northeast brace for a powerful storm Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Fay 2% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Lowell 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 10 31% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- New York City
- New Jersey