No Kings rallies urge early voting ahead of US midterm elections

Thousands gathered across the US for No Kings events to encourage early voting in the November 3 midterms, shifting focus from anti-Trump protests to turnout.

8 publishers · 11 articles · first seen 16 Oct 2026 · updated 20d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Deport / Deported / Deportation

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	1%
19 Oct, 03:23 UTC	21%
19 Oct, 01:20 UTC	21%
19 Oct, 00:58 UTC	27%
18 Oct, 22:28 UTC	25%
18 Oct, 21:41 UTC	26%
18 Oct, 21:27 UTC	24%
18 Oct, 20:53 UTC	27%
18 Oct, 20:20 UTC	25%
18 Oct, 19:38 UTC	26%
18 Oct, 19:03 UTC	24%
18 Oct, 18:22 UTC	26%
18 Oct, 17:45 UTC	24%
18 Oct, 17:17 UTC	25%
18 Oct, 16:38 UTC	28%
18 Oct, 16:10 UTC	27%
18 Oct, 15:22 UTC	30%
18 Oct, 13:45 UTC	32%
18 Oct, 13:23 UTC	28%
18 Oct, 12:21 UTC	32%
18 Oct, 09:26 UTC	32%
18 Oct, 08:54 UTC	32%
17 Oct, 08:03 UTC	16%

The story so far

8 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 16 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 16 October at 10:30 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 23h 32m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 18 October at 15:20 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Fox News Politics, News - South China Morning Post, Latest articles, Deutsche Welle, France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines.

3 prediction markets price this story:

Deport / Deported / Deportation — resolved “No” on 20 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump uses the words "Deport," "Deported," or "Deportation" during his scheduled midterm rally in Wichita, Kansas on October 19, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about actual policy implementation rather than a specific spoken phrase at a single event.
Event does not qualify — resolved “No” on 18 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a qualifying event does not happen. It resolves to No if such an event occurs. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria rather than checking for the specific definition of a qualifying event.
Above 35 — resolved “Yes” on 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump holds more than 35 rallies between January 1 and November 3, 2026. It resolves to No if he holds 35 or fewer rallies during that period. Readers often mistake the end date for the election day in November 2024 instead of November 3, 2026.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Deport / Deported / Deportation at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

16 Oct, 10:30The Guardian US ‘Too big to rig’: No Kings movement heads to the polls to boost early voting—
17 Oct, 10:02Fox News Politics 'No Kings' foot soldiers ignore organizers' warning, go all in for Democrats16%
17 Oct, 17:38The Hill Thousands of No Kings protests held for nationwide early voting 'day of action'16%
17 Oct, 21:08Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera Photos: No Kings rallies in US urge midterm voters to cast ballots early16%
17 Oct, 23:56News - South China Morning Post Across US, ‘No Kings’ events seek to boost early voting and thwart Trump16%
18 Oct, 00:05Latest articles Across U.S., ‘No Kings’ events seek to boost early voting16%
18 Oct, 00:51Deutsche Welle 'No Kings' rallies push early voting ahead of US midterm elections16%
18 Oct, 01:13Fox News Politics ‘No Kings’ protesters spurn organizers' rules: ‘This is as partisan as you can get’16%
18 Oct, 01:50France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines ‘Standing up for democracy’: Atlanta ‘No Kings’ rally draws Trump critics ahead of midterms16%
18 Oct, 08:25Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ‘No Kings’ protests spread across the US ahead of midterm elections16%
18 Oct, 15:20The Guardian US 'No Kings' protesters rally across the US – video32%▲16 points since the previous source
20 Oct, 02:27Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

Show 5 more sources

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

Resolved Deport / Deported / Deportation No 18d ago
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved Event does not qualify No 20d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong
Resolved Above 35 Yes 12d ago
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Wrong market?

What's wrong

In this story

Donald Trump
No Kings Coalition
Democrats

Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

<iframe src="https://newsmarkets.org/embed/story/no-kings-movement-mobilises-thousands-for-early-voting-ahead-of-us-midterm-64706" width="100%" height="420" style="border:0;max-width:640px" loading="lazy" title="No Kings rallies urge early voting ahead of US midterm elections · NewsMarkets"></iframe>