No. 3 Miami Beats Florida State 43-35 in Double Overtime Thriller
Darian Mensah threw for 326 yards and three touchdowns as No. 3 Miami defeated archrival Florida State 43-35 in a double-overtime game ending with a controversial interception.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 40% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 44% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 41% |
| 19 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 40% |
| 19 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 43% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 47% |
| 18 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 22:14 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 54% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 40% |
| 18 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 39% |
| 17 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 40% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 18 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 18 October at 03:27 UTC; www.espn.com followed 1h 52m later. The most recent article, from www.espn.com, appeared on 18 October at 05:19 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Miami — resolved “No” on 25 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Miami fails to win any games for the longest period among all teams in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, specifically measured by the week of its first victory. The outcome depends on the final standings where winless teams are ranked last.
- Miami (FL) — the market puts it at 34%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Miami (FL) finishes the 2026 college football regular season without a single loss. It resolves to No if the team loses at least one game during that specific regular season. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, confusing the end of the regular season with the conclusion of the entire championship playoffs.
- 11+ wins — the market puts it at 79%, with $49 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Miami (FL) college football team achieves at least 11 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that win total. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the entire season rather than just the regular season.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Miami No 12d ago
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Miami (FL) 34% −8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 11+ wins 79% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Miami
- Florida State
- Darian Mensah