Miami
The market favoured No at 58% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved18 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 13% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 40% |
| 24 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 40% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 44% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Miami fails to win any games for the longest period among all teams in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, specifically measured by the week of its first victory. The outcome depends on the final standings where winless teams are ranked last.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%