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New York Governor Election Results: Hochul vs. Blakeman

Kathy Hochul faces Republican Bruce Blakeman in the New York governor race, with polls closing at 9 p.m. EST.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 3 Nov 2026 · updated 3d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%0%3 Oct, 20:57 UTCnowThe Hollywood Reporter: Kathy Hochul’s Win in New York Assures a Hollywood Home for Years to Come · 4 Nov, 02:50 UTCThe Hill: New York live results: 2026 governor's election · 3 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
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The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC; The Hollywood Reporter followed 9h 51m later. The most recent article, from The Hollywood Reporter, appeared on 4 November at 02:50 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet).

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. For 'Yes' to occur, a Republican nominee must win; for 'No', any other candidate must win. Readers often mistake the linked story about a New Jersey governor as relevant, but only the NY election result matters.
  • At least 88% — the market puts it at 5%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kathy Hochul receives between 88% and 100% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 88%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day itself, but the resolution depends on the final certified vote count.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Kathy Hochul’s Win in New York Assures a Hollywood Home for Years to Come The Hollywood Reporter ·
  2. New York live results: 2026 governor's election The Hill ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No 3d ago

    The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi At least 88% 5% $0 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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