NASA's Perseverance Rover Sets New Off-Planet Driving Record on Mars

The story so far

5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 13 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 13 October at 01:20 UTC; News - South China Morning Post followed 6h 00m later. The most recent article, from Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews, appeared on 13 October at 12:01 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The New York Times (major outlet), News - South China Morning Post, Latest articles, Times of India, Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Before 2027 — the market puts it at 0%, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if an announcement confirms that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after the question was issued and by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline as January 1, 2027, but the cutoff is actually December 31, 2026.
• Before 2035 — the market puts it at 43%, closing 1 Jan 2035. The outcome is Yes if a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human sets foot there before 2035. The outcome is No if no such event occurs within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the driving record of the Perseverance rover for this event, but it does not count because the rover is not a humanoid robot.
• Mars — the market puts it at 11%, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Aug 2099. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk travels to Mars before he dies or before August 1, 2099, whichever comes first. It resolves to No if that event does not happen within those limits. Readers often mistake the deadline for a fixed date rather than the earlier of his death or the specified year.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.