MSCI Rules Could Eject Strategy, Metaplanet From Equity Indexes
New MSCI rules classifying firms dominated by single assets as non-operating take effect Nov. 30, potentially removing Strategy and Metaplanet from benchmarks.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Technology, 49 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 15 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 53% |
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 15 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 15 October at 21:26 UTC; The Block followed 49 min later. The most recent article, from decrypt.co, appeared on 16 October at 18:16 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), CoinDesk (major outlet), The Block, Cointelegraph.com News, Protos, Quartz, decrypt.co.
One prediction market prices this story:
- US Foods — the market puts it at 53%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if US Foods is officially added to the MSCI USA Index between October 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about potential ejections for the actual addition event.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on US Foods at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyMSCI Decision Moves Michael Saylor’s Strategy Toward Index Exit53%
- The BlockMSCI finalizes index rules that put Strategy, crypto treasury firms at risk of exclusion53%
- Cointelegraph.com NewsMSCI adopts index exclusion rules that could oust Strategy53%
- CoinDeskMSCI approves rules that could eject Strategy, Metaplanet from equity indexes53%
- ProtosStrategy dips on bad MSCI World Index news53%
- QuartzMSCI's new index rules are putting Strategy's global benchmark status at risk53%
- decrypt.coBitcoin Treasury Giant Strategy Faces Index Removal Under Finalized MSCI Rules53%
- Current odds53%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- MSCI approves rules that could eject Strategy, Metaplanet from equity indexes CoinDesk ·
- MSCI Decision Moves Michael Saylor’s Strategy Toward Index Exit Bloomberg Technology ·
- Bitcoin Treasury Giant Strategy Faces Index Removal Under Finalized MSCI Rules decrypt.co
- MSCI's new index rules are putting Strategy's global benchmark status at risk Quartz
- Strategy dips on bad MSCI World Index news Protos
- MSCI adopts index exclusion rules that could oust Strategy Cointelegraph.com News
- MSCI finalizes index rules that put Strategy, crypto treasury firms at risk of exclusion The Block
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi US Foods 53%
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In this story
- MSCI
- Strategy
- Metaplanet
- Michael Saylor