Morgan Stanley Leaks Confidential Deal List in Email Blunder
The bank apologizes after a staffer accidentally sent an email containing details of over 100 confidential investment deals to the wrong recipient.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 07:36 UTC | 12% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Morgan Stanley respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 23 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 23 September at 14:57 UTC; South China Morning Post followed 13h 37m later. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 25 September at 07:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Morgan Stanley — the market puts it at 11%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Morgan Stanley acts as a lead underwriter for Kraken's US initial public offering before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the email leak mentioned in the linked story for the triggering event, but only the official underwriting role matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Morgan Stanley at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg MarketsMorgan Stanley Apologizes for Misfired Email12%
- South China Morning PostMorgan Stanley ‘fat finger’ leak of confidential deal pipeline sets off alarm bells12%
- Bloomberg TechnologyMorgan Stanley Rushes to Contain Fallout After Deal List Leak12%
- Bloomberg.comUS-China Talks, Morgan Stanley Email Leak, More12%
- South China Morning PostMorgan Stanley deal leak triggers rival poaching, security warnings for Hong Kong banks11%▼1 points since the previous source
- Bloomberg MarketsEmail Misfire Leaks Morgan Stanley Deal List11%
- Current odds11%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Email Misfire Leaks Morgan Stanley Deal List Bloomberg Markets ·
- US-China Talks, Morgan Stanley Email Leak, More Bloomberg.com ·
- Morgan Stanley Rushes to Contain Fallout After Deal List Leak Bloomberg Technology ·
- Morgan Stanley Apologizes for Misfired Email Bloomberg Markets ·
- Morgan Stanley deal leak triggers rival poaching, security warnings for Hong Kong banks South China Morning Post
- Morgan Stanley ‘fat finger’ leak of confidential deal pipeline sets off alarm bells South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Morgan Stanley 11%
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In this story
- Morgan Stanley
- Hong Kong