Missourians Defend Transgender Healthcare Ahead of Midterm Ban Vote
Advocates are taking a deliberate, unhurried approach to campaigning against the proposed ban on transgender healthcare for young people in Missouri.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 24% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 17:33 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 13:32 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 10:16 UTC | 35% |
| 3 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 23:36 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Nov, 19:09 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Nov, 15:08 UTC | 40% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 42% |
| 31 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 44% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 49% |
| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 48% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Oct, 20:00 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Oct, 18:44 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 50% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 29 Oct 2026. NPR Health published first, on 29 October at 09:00 UTC. The most recent article, from KFF Health News, appeared on 29 October at 09:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: NPR Health (major outlet), KFF Health News.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Missouri Amendment 3 — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Missouri Amendment 3 passes. The amendment must successfully repeal abortion protections and prohibit gender transitions for minors. Readers often mistake the linked news story about defending healthcare as the resolution criteria, but only the official election result matters.
- Amendment 7 — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Amendment 7 passes in Missouri and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution criteria instead of the official election results.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Missouri Amendment 3 No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Amendment 7 No 2d ago
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?