McDonald's Beats Earnings Estimates as U.S. Traffic Slips
The chain reported global comparable sales growth of 1.5% while testing new value bundles in the US.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 4 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 29% |
| 1 Nov, 18:40 UTC | 38% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Above 3% respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 4 Nov 2026. CNBC published first, on 4 November at 05:01 UTC; Quartz followed 8h 22m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 6 November at 18:10 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CNBC (major outlet), Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Above 3% — the market puts it at 29%, closing 27 Apr 2027. The market resolves to Yes if McDonald's reports global comparable sales growth above 3.0% for fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if that growth is 3.0% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news story about beef prices for the official data source, but only McDonald's reported fiscal results count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above 3% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CNBCMcDonald's is about to report earnings. Here's what to expect38%
- QuartzMcDonald's beat earnings estimates as U.S. restaurant traffic fell38%
- QuartzMcDonald's is testing new value bundles as U.S. restaurant traffic slips29%▼9 points since the previous source
- QuartzMcDonald's testet in 1.900 US-Restaurants über acht Wochen neue Wertpakete.29%
- QuartzMcDonald's testet neue Sparpakete, da die Besucherzahlen in US-Restaurants zurückgehen.29%
- Current odds29%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- McDonald's is about to report earnings. Here's what to expect CNBC ·
- McDonald's testet neue Sparpakete, da die Besucherzahlen in US-Restaurants zurückgehen. Quartz
- McDonald's testet in 1.900 US-Restaurants über acht Wochen neue Wertpakete. Quartz
- McDonald's is testing new value bundles as U.S. restaurant traffic slips Quartz
- McDonald's beat earnings estimates as U.S. restaurant traffic fell Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Above 3% 29%
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In this story
- McDonald's