Mbappe Future at Real Madrid in Doubt After Angering Mourinho
Kylian Mbappé has reportedly angered manager Jose Mourinho, while Real Madrid demand at least €200 million for any potential transfer.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 13:41 UTC | 6% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 8 October at 13:06 UTC; SI Feed followed 7h 54m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 8 October at 21:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Kylian Mbappe transfers out of Real Madrid before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains at the club past that date. Readers often mistake his injury status or national team availability for a transfer.
- Real Madrid — the market puts it at 12%, closing 9 Sept 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Cristiano Ronaldo joins Real Madrid before September 2, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not join them by that deadline. Readers often mistake this for a question about the club's interest in other players like Van Dijk or Tchouaméni.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Kylian Mbappe leaves before Jan 1, 2027 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Real Madrid 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Mbappé
- Real Madrid
- Jose Mourinho