Maine's Troy Jackson Runs Low-Key Campaign Against Republican Incumbent
Former logger Troy Jackson challenges the incumbent in Maine with an unpolished campaign style that resonates with some voters.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 83% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 23:03 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 18:37 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 18:21 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 13:32 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 13:25 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 12:42 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 09:54 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 07:48 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 06:44 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 03:19 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 20:08 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 11:57 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 09:45 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 09:25 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 04:11 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 72% |
| 2 Nov, 03:13 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 02:15 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 72% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 22:46 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 20:36 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 19:30 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 18:40 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 15:53 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 15:00 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 14:45 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 13:09 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 12:55 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 11:55 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 08:06 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 07:18 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 03:12 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 02:43 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 21:31 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 17:13 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 06:22 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 22:47 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 19:20 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 64% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 23:47 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Oct, 13:15 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Oct, 05:44 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 10:02 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Oct, 00:07 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 14:36 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 16:31 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 14:30 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 08:00 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 61% |
| 25 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 60% |
| 25 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 66% |
| 23 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 14:39 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 06:23 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 62% |
| 19 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 60% |
| 19 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 59% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 58% |
| 19 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 59% |
| 19 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 59% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 11:33 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 06:34 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 58% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 58% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 58% |
| 16 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 56% |
| 16 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 14:50 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 20:04 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 03:28 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 56% |
| 13 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 56% |
| 13 Oct, 19:45 UTC | 56% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 59% |
| 13 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 05:49 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 56% |
| 12 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 57% |
| 12 Oct, 01:00 UTC | 58% |
| 12 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 14:02 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 11:08 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 55% |
| 8 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 55% |
| 8 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 11:25 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 58% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 58% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 57% |
| 6 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 56% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 12:17 UTC | 55% |
| 5 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 54% |
| 5 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 56% |
| 5 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 58% |
| 5 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 57% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 59% |
| 4 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 61% |
| 2 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 05:12 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 59% |
| 2 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 58% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 58% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 59% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 58% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 22:51 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:30 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 01:16 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 59% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 59% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Sept, 00:14 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 17:14 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 09:49 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 03:38 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 03:16 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 01:54 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 21:48 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 18:36 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Sept, 14:46 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 10:04 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 05:10 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 64% |
| 25 Sept, 03:30 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 02:06 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Sept, 00:27 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Sept, 21:53 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 18:49 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 14:18 UTC | 63% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 65% |
| 24 Sept, 12:42 UTC | 64% |
| 24 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 65% |
| 24 Sept, 11:48 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Sept, 10:19 UTC | 71% |
| 24 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 04:01 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 02:38 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 00:16 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 22:34 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 21:43 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 17:39 UTC | 71% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Sept, 07:00 UTC | 68% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Sept 2026. Washington Post published first, on 23 September at 16:11 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Troy Jackson — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Maine for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the outcome depends on who is actually sworn in.
- Republican party — resolved “No” on 6 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Republican party wins control of the Maine State Senate in the 2026 election. The outcome is No if they do not win control. Readers often mistake this for a single-seat race or confuse the winner with the incumbent mentioned in the linked story.
- Jackson, 1+ pts — the market puts it at 100%, with $24 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by a margin of at least one percentage point. The outcome is No if the winner loses by less than one percentage point or if the Republican Party wins. Readers often mistake the candidate's campaign style for the actual vote margin, but only the final certified election results determine the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Troy Jackson Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Republican party No 10h ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jackson, 1+ pts 100%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
In this story
- Troy Jackson
- Graham Platner
- Maine