Troy Jackson
Implied probability 100%+27
24-hour volume$4.2M
Total volume$10.7M
Liquidity$10.7M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Maine for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not occur. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the outcome depends on who is actually sworn in.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%