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Maine GOP Candidate Paul LePage Backs Immigration Crackdown Despite Family Member Facing Deportation

Former governor Paul LePage, running for Congress in Maine, supports stricter immigration enforcement even as his son’s father-in-law faces deportation.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 23 Sept 2026 · updated 44d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Republican party
0%50%100%2%22 Sept, 15:44 UTCnowThe Hill: Paul LePage says ICE is deporting his relative · 23 Sept, 21:48 UTCWashington Post: Maine Republican backs immigration crackdown, says family member shouldn’t be deported · 23 Sept, 17:30 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
5 Nov, 21:34 UTC2%
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1 Oct, 20:29 UTC20%
24 Sept, 01:58 UTC13%
22 Sept, 15:44 UTC88%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 23 Sept 2026. Washington Post published first, on 23 September at 17:30 UTC; The Hill followed 4h 18m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 23 September at 21:48 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Washington Post (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet).

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Republican party — resolved “No” on 6 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Republican party wins control of the Maine State Senate in the 2026 election. The outcome is No if they do not win control. Readers often mistake this for a single-seat race or confuse the winner with the incumbent mentioned in the linked story.
  • Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The "Yes" outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The "No" outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if no candidate is declared the winner by the resolution sources.
  • Republican party wins — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if a Republican wins the general election and the Democratic nominee is Graham Platner before January 2027. The outcome is No if either condition fails within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the final result, but only the official election winner and confirmed nominee matter.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Paul LePage says ICE is deporting his relative The Hill ·
  2. Maine Republican backs immigration crackdown, says family member shouldn’t be deported Washington Post ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Republican party No 10h ago

    The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 3d ago

    The market favoured No at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Republican party wins No 3d ago

    The market favoured No at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Paul LePage
  • Maine
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