Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if a Republican wins the 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs. The "No" outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if no candidate is declared the winner by the resolution sources.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%