Lux Capital in Talks to Lead Onodrim Funding Round at Unicorn Valuation
The firm is negotiating to invest roughly €200 million in the Dutch defense startup, which is backed by Anduril and Hadrian Automation.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 31% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 23% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Sept, 23:47 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 22:37 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 07:44 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Sept, 02:51 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Sept, 07:56 UTC | 24% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 29 September at 07:37 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Anduril — the market puts it at 25%, with $328 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Anduril before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Lux Capital for the official resolution source.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Anduril 25% +3
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In this story
- Lux Capital
- Onodrim
- Anduril Industries Inc.
- Hadrian Automation Inc.