Liverpool beat Chelsea on penalties to reach Carabao Cup quarter-finals
Liverpool advance past Chelsea in the Carabao Cup after a 1-1 draw and a 6-5 penalty shootout victory at Anfield.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 40 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 21:32 UTC | 11% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Liverpool respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 28 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 28 October at 21:50 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 40 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 30 October at 22:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), SkySports, SI Feed, Sports news, stories and scores - Football, tennis, cycling… - France 24.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Liverpool — the market puts it at 13%, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Liverpool wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for any cup competition, but only the FA Cup counts.
- Chelsea — the market puts it at 5%, with $780 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Chelsea wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of their current performance or future seasons rather than the definitive outcome of the 2026-27 league.
- Liverpool — resolved “No” on 1 Nov 2026. Liverpool must win the match against Arsenal within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count toward the result. Readers often mistakenly believe that winning on penalties or in extra time satisfies the condition.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Liverpool at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsLiverpool beat Chelsea on penalties to reach last eight11%
- The Guardian SportLiverpool beat Chelsea on penalties yet again to secure Carabao Cup progress11%
- SI FeedLiverpool Player Ratings vs. Chelsea: Reds Triumph in Chaotic Penalty Shootout11%
- SI FeedChelsea Player Ratings vs. Liverpool: Familiar Villain Ends Blues’ Carabao Cup Dreams13%▲2 points since the previous source
- Sports news, stories and scores - Football, tennis, cycling… - France 24League Cup: Liverpool edges Chelsea in penalty shoot-out13%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraChelsea beat Liverpool 6-5 on penalties to reach League Cup quarterfinals13%
- The Guardian SportLiverpool beat Chelsea as three more join penalty hall of shame | Football Daily13%
- The Guardian SportAraújo key factor in Liverpool’s improvement at set pieces, says Iraola13%
- Current odds13%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Araújo key factor in Liverpool’s improvement at set pieces, says Iraola The Guardian Sport ·
- Liverpool beat Chelsea as three more join penalty hall of shame | Football Daily The Guardian Sport ·
- Chelsea beat Liverpool 6-5 on penalties to reach League Cup quarterfinals Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Liverpool beat Chelsea on penalties yet again to secure Carabao Cup progress The Guardian Sport ·
- League Cup: Liverpool edges Chelsea in penalty shoot-out Sports news, stories and scores - Football, tennis, cycling… - France 24
- Chelsea Player Ratings vs. Liverpool: Familiar Villain Ends Blues’ Carabao Cup Dreams SI Feed
- Liverpool Player Ratings vs. Chelsea: Reds Triumph in Chaotic Penalty Shootout SI Feed
- Liverpool beat Chelsea on penalties to reach last eight SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Liverpool 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Chelsea 5% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Liverpool No 6d ago
The market favoured No at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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