Liverpool
The market favoured No at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$3.7M
Total volume$3.8M
Liquidity$3.8M
Resolved3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 15:38 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 12:16 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 07:18 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 06:01 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 05:04 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 32% |
| 1 Nov, 00:00 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 32% |
| 31 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 01:04 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 19:20 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 31% |
What counts
Liverpool must win the match against Arsenal within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count toward the result. Readers often mistakenly believe that winning on penalties or in extra time satisfies the condition.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%