LA Mayoral Candidate Nithya Raman Defends Stance Amid Controversy
Nithya Raman asserts her independence from the Democratic Socialist of America while outlining plans for Hollywood's creative economy during the Los Angeles mayoral race.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 14:16 UTC | 98% |
| 5 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 06:26 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 23:32 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 22:13 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 20:52 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 10:58 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 08:38 UTC | 77% |
| 4 Nov, 07:41 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 60% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 75% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 16:10 UTC | 41% |
| 28 Oct, 12:04 UTC | 42% |
| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 44% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 43% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 44% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 46% |
| 21 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 38% |
| 21 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 45% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 51% |
| 14 Oct, 12:33 UTC | 47% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 52% |
| 14 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 50% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 60% |
| 10 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 65% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 39% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 42% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nithya Raman, ≥2% respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 30 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 30 September at 19:41 UTC; Bloomberg Markets followed 23h 25m later. The most recent article, from Fox News Politics, appeared on 2 October at 11:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The Hollywood Reporter (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Nithya Raman, ≥2% — the market puts it at 97%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Nithya Raman wins the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by a margin of at least 2%. The outcome is No if she loses or wins by less than 2%. Readers often mistake the linked poll results for the final election result.
- Nithya Raman — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Bernie Sanders publicly endorses Nithya Raman for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story’s mention of independence as a resolution factor, but only a public endorsement by Sanders counts.
- Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra — resolved “Yes” on 5 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes only if Nithya Raman wins the Los Angeles mayoral election and Xavier Becerra wins the California gubernatorial election by November 2026. Both candidates must win their respective races for the outcome to be Yes. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of individual candidate success rather than requiring both specific victories simultaneously.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nithya Raman, ≥2% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillRaman stresses 'independence' from DSA in Los Angeles mayor's race despite backing62%
- Bloomberg MarketsNithya Raman on Plan for Jobs in Hollywood59%▼3 points since the previous source
- The Hollywood ReporterNithya Raman Promises She’ll Be a “Relentless Advocate” for Hollywood59%
- Fox News Politics'DSA jihadi': LA mayoral candidate torched after defending 'genocide' comment during Jewish forum59%
- Current odds97%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Nithya Raman Promises She’ll Be a “Relentless Advocate” for Hollywood The Hollywood Reporter ·
- Nithya Raman on Plan for Jobs in Hollywood Bloomberg Markets ·
- Raman stresses 'independence' from DSA in Los Angeles mayor's race despite backing The Hill ·
- 'DSA jihadi': LA mayoral candidate torched after defending 'genocide' comment during Jewish forum Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Nithya Raman, ≥2% 97% +12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Nithya Raman No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra Yes 35h ago
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Nithya Raman
- Karen Bass
- Democratic Socialist of America
- Los Angeles